Match Analysis: Grand Canyon Antelopes vs Northwestern St Demons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Global Credit Union Arena, Phoenix, AZ
Game Overview
The Grand Canyon Antelopes (2-2) face the Northwestern St Demons (1-4) in a college basketball NCAAB matchup. The Antelopes are strong home favorites, with a powerful home court record and solid recent performance. Northwestern State is struggling, particularly on the road with a losing streak in away games and poor defensive stats. The match has a high projected scoring total and Grand Canyon is expected to dominate.
Key Factors to Consider
- Grand Canyon has a 2-2 record, going 2-1 at home, and averages 25 points more scored than Northwestern State. Their defense is ranked 43rd nationally in field goal % allowed. Northwestern State has lost 4 of their 5 games, including all 4 away games, and has a low-performing defense ranked in the bottom 30 nationally.
- Recent direct matchups heavily favor Grand Canyon, who have won 34 of their last 36 home games, with Northwestern State losing 16 consecutive night non-conference road games.
- There are no major reported injuries impacting either team ahead of this game.
- The game takes place in Phoenix, Arizona, benefiting home team Grand Canyon. Northwestern State faces travel fatigue from frequent road games this season. The venue creates a significant home court advantage for Grand Canyon.
- Grand Canyon aims to rebound after a recent road loss and reinforce their home dominance. Northwestern State seeks to end their losing streak and avoid a fifth road loss in six games, but their recent form suggests low confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Canyon Antelopes: -2100, Northwestern St Demons: 1100 | Grand Canyon Antelopes to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Grand Canyon Antelopes: -16.5 -112, Northwestern St Demons: +16.5 -108 | Grand Canyon to cover the -16.5 spread | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5 -115, Under: 150.5 -105 | Over 150.5 points scored | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Canyon Antelopes -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Grand Canyon Antelopes are heavily favored to win convincingly, with a strong probability to cover the large spread and likely push the total points over the set line.
Predicted Score: Grand Canyon Antelopes 89 – Northwestern St Demons 66