Match Analysis: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Creighton Bluejays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 11, 2025
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: McCarthey Athletic Center, Spokana, Washington
Game Overview
No. 19 Gonzaga Bulldogs (2-0) host No. 23 Creighton Bluejays (1-0) in a top-25 matchup. Gonzaga enters undefeated at home with dominant victories, while Creighton begins conference play with a solid road record historically. This is a classic matchup between a high-efficiency Gonzaga team and an improving Creighton squad.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gonzaga is 2-0 with offensive output of 181 and 83 points in consecutive wins (vs Oklahoma 83-68, earlier victory). Creighton is 1-0 with a 92-76 home win vs South Dakota. Gonzaga's point differential is +70, indicating dominant early-season form. Creighton showed defensive solidity but faces a significant step up in competition.
- Gonzaga leads the recent series 3-0, with the most recent matchup in the 2021 NCAA Tournament won 83-65 by Gonzaga. Historically, Creighton leads the all-time series 6-5, but Gonzaga has clearly dominated the modern era matchup.
- No significant injuries reported for either team. Both squads appear at full strength entering this contest.
- Gonzaga plays at home in 'The Kennel,' providing court advantage. The game is on ESPN with prime late-night visibility. Creighton travels on short notice as an away team, which historically has been challenging (though their 2024-25 road record was strong at .818, 9-2-0).
- Gonzaga seeks to maintain perfect home record and top-25 status. Creighton aims to prove legitimacy against elite competition and validate their ranking. Both teams have motivation, but Gonzaga's home-court advantage and undefeated record provide psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gonzaga -950 | Creighton +625 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | β β β β β 81% |
| Spread | Gonzaga -11.5 -115 | Creighton +11.5 -105 | Gonzaga -11.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | Over 167.5 -105 | Under 167.5 -115 | Under 167.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gonzaga Bulldogs -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 167.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 167.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gonzaga Bulldogs win 81-68, covering the spread with a total under 166.5 points. The Bulldogs' defensive intensity and efficient offense overcome Creighton's solid early-season play. The game features tighter margins and lower-scoring efficiency than preseason models, driven by defensive pressure.
Predicted Score: Gonzaga 81, Creighton 68