Match Analysis: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Neutral Site
Game Overview
This matchup features two powerhouse NCAA basketball programs, Gonzaga Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide, meeting in a high-profile non-conference game. Both teams are expected to be ranked in the top 10 nationally, with strong offensive and defensive units. The game is scheduled for November 25, 2025, and will be played at a neutral site, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gonzaga enters the game with a strong offensive rating, averaging over 85 points per game and shooting above 48% from the field. Their defense has been solid, allowing just under 70 points per game. Alabama is similarly potent, averaging 83 points per game and boasting a top-10 defense, allowing just 68 points per game. Both teams have shown the ability to score in bunches and defend at a high level, making this a potential shootout.
- The two teams have met twice in recent years, splitting the series 1-1. Alabama won the first matchup 91-82 on December 4, 2021. Gonzaga returned the favor with a 100-90 victory on December 17, 2022. Both games were played at neutral sites, and the average margin of victory was 9 points. The most recent meeting saw Gonzaga outscore Alabama by 10 points, indicating a slight edge for the Bulldogs in their last encounter.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to be at full strength, with key starters and rotation players available for selection.
- The game is being played at a neutral site, which eliminates any significant home-court advantage. Weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact the game. The high stakes of this matchup, with both teams likely to be ranked in the top 10, will add pressure and intensity to the contest.
- Both teams are highly motivated to prove themselves against top competition. Gonzaga is looking to solidify their status as a national title contender, while Alabama aims to establish themselves as a powerhouse in the SEC and beyond. The outcome of this game could have significant implications for both teams' postseason aspirations.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gonzaga Bulldogs: -110, Alabama Crimson Tide: -110 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Alabama Crimson Tide: 3.5 -110, Gonzaga Bulldogs: -3.5 -110 | Gonzaga Bulldogs -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 173.5 -110, Under: 173.5 -110 | Over 173.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 173.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 173.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This game is expected to be a close, high-scoring affair. Gonzaga's recent head-to-head victory and slightly better offensive efficiency give them a slight edge. However, Alabama's strong defense and ability to score in bunches make them a dangerous opponent. The neutral site setting and the high stakes of the game will likely result in a tightly contested matchup.
Predicted Score: Gonzaga Bulldogs 88, Alabama Crimson Tide 85
