Match Analysis: George Mason Patriots vs Jacksonville Dolphins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: EagleBank Arena, Fairfax, VA
Game Overview
The George Mason Patriots (4-0) hosting the Jacksonville Dolphins (2-2) features a matchup where George Mason is heavily favored at home. George Mason boasts an undefeated record so far and a strong defensive profile, while Jacksonville has a breakeven record and less consistency. The game total is set at 135.5 points, reflecting moderate scoring expectations on a defensive-minded George Mason home court.
Key Factors to Consider
- George Mason enters undefeated (4-0) with strong defense holding opponents below averages and a balanced scoring attack. Jacksonville is 2-2, showing some offensive potency but inconsistency defensively. George Mason scores about 71 points per game while allowing less than 61 on average, showing defensive strength. Jacksonvilleβs offense averages around 83.5 points but is less stable in defense.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but no recent match results indicate a clear trend. George Masonβs home advantage and recent form suggest dominance in this matchup.
- No significant injury reports have been indicated for either team, suggesting both are at near full strength entering the game.
- The Patriots enjoy home court advantage at EagleBank Arena with strong fan support. Jacksonville faces travel and away game challenges. Public betting heavily favors George Mason with 100% moneyline bets, indicating strong market confidence.
- George Mason, undefeated and favored, are motivated to maintain dominance and continue a winning streak. Jacksonville aims to upset on the road and improve their 2-2 start, likely motivated to prove themselves.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1200, away: +750 | George Mason Patriots | β β β β β 93% |
| Spread | home: -105, away: -115 | George Mason Patriots -14.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Over 135.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | George Mason Patriots 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 135.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 135.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
George Mason Patriots are strongly favored to win, expected to cover the -14.5 spread, with a moderately high scoring game going over 135.5 points.
Predicted Score: George Mason Patriots 75 – Jacksonville Dolphins 58