Match Analysis: Furman Paladins vs Troy Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Timmons Arena, Greenville, SC
Game Overview
The Furman Paladins (0-1) host the Troy Trojans (1-0) in an NCAA basketball matchup. Troy enters on a winning momentum after a high-scoring overtime victory (103-97) against Kent State, demonstrating effective shooting and rebounding. Furman is coming off a home loss to High Point. The game is expected to be competitive with an estimated combined total around 150 points, reflecting an offensive-minded contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Troy shows efficient shooting (52.4% FG, 46% 3PT) and strong free throw accuracy (75.8%), aided by balanced assists (20) and steal numbers (8) in their win. Furman is 0-1 and was outscored in their opening game, showing early season rust. Troy's defense allowed 38% FG to Kent State, which could be tested by Furman's offense. Furman's current form and ability to improve at home are crucial.
- No recent detailed head-to-head data available in the search results, but Troy won the last noted matchups and currently shows stronger early season form.
- No injury information available for either team from the provided data.
- The game is played at Furman's home arena, Timmons Arena, giving them home-court advantage. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+. Public betting heavily favors Furman with 100% of bets on them despite their prior loss, indicating strong support and potentially value in Troy's underdog position.
- Troy seeks to continue positive momentum after their strong road victory, aiming to prove consistency. Furman wants to capitalize on home court to rebound from a disappointing start and validate their potential this season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Furman Paladins: -168, Troy Trojans: 136 | Furman Paladins | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Furman Paladins: -3.5 -104, Troy Trojans: +3.5 -118 | Furman Paladins -3.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5 -108, Under: 150.5 -116 | Over 150.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Furman Paladins -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The analysis favors Furman to win narrowly due to home advantage and betting market confidence, but Troy's strong offensive metrics and shooting efficiency suggest a close game, potentially going to the over on total points.
Predicted Score: Furman Paladins 78 – Troy Trojans 74