Match Analysis: Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Chicago St Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Purdue Fort Wayne home court
Game Overview
The Fort Wayne Mastodons, playing at home, face the Chicago State Cougars in this NCAA basketball matchup. Fort Wayne, with a 2-5 overall record and undefeated at home (2-0), appears stronger compared to the struggling Chicago State team, winless at 0-6 and without any road wins. The Mastodons are heavily favored in this game both in moneyline and spread, reflecting their better performance metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fort Wayne boasts a home record of 2-0 and has outscored opponents overall by a significant margin. Chicago State is winless with an 0-6 record, including 0-5 away, showing poor offensive output and defense.
- Historically, Fort Wayne has dominated Chicago State recently, with Chicago State showing no wins and a negative scoring margin of -139 in the current season.
- No relevant current injury reports impacting starting lineups or key players were found in available information.
- Playing at home provides Fort Wayne with a tangible advantage. Additionally, Chicago Stateβs 6-game losing streak may negatively impact their morale.
- Fort Wayne aims to leverage their home advantage to improve their record, while Chicago State will be looking to avoid further losses and ending their streak, though recent form suggests low likelihood.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fort Wayne Mastodons: -850, Chicago State Cougars: 540 | Fort Wayne Mastodons to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Fort Wayne Mastodons: -11.5 -110, Chicago State Cougars: +11.5 -110 | Fort Wayne Mastodons to cover -11.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5 -108, Under: 150.5 -116 | Over 150.5 points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fort Wayne Mastodons -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fort Wayne Mastodons are predicted to win decisively, likely covering the -11.5 spread. Given the large disparity in team performance and home advantage, Fort Wayne is favored for a strong victory.
Predicted Score: Fort Wayne Mastodons 83 – Chicago State Cougars 68