Match Analysis: Florida St Seminoles vs Alabama St Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center, Tallahassee
Game Overview
Florida State Seminoles, a major favorite at home, face Alabama State Hornets in an ACC vs SWAC mismatch. Florida State recently dominated in their opening win, while Alabama State is yet to start its campaign.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida State is 1-0 this season with a commanding 108-76 home win, showing strong offense and defense. Alabama State is 0-0 and coming off a recent heavy loss to Auburn, indicating potential struggles.
- Limited recent H2H data; however, historical matchups favor Florida State as a top-tier ACC team over SWAC's Alabama State, suggesting a significant disparity.
- No reported injuries impacting Florida State's key players. Alabama State status is unclear but no notable absences reported.
- Home court advantage strongly favors Florida State at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center; motivated to bounce back after previous season struggles.
- Florida State seeks to assert dominance early in ACC play and recover from a middling prior season, while Alabama State aims to build team cohesion and rebound from a tough loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -10000 | Florida State | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | -110 | Florida State -25.5 | β β β β β 88% |
| Over/under | -112 | Under 163.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida State to win moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go under 163.5 points.
Predicted Score: Florida State 90 – Alabama State 62