Match Analysis: Florida Gators vs Florida St Seminoles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville
Game Overview
Florida State Seminoles (2-0) travel to face the Florida Gators (1-1) in a heated in-state rivalry game. Florida enters as heavy favorites with home-court advantage and a dominant recent head-to-head record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida State is undefeated (2-0), averaging 104.5 PPG and allowing just 70 PPA. Florida is 1-1, averaging 95.5 PPG and allowing 78.5 PPA. Florida Stateβs defense is elite, while Floridaβs is inconsistent, allowing 40.2% shooting and 78.5 PPG.
- Florida leads the all-time series 47-28 and has won the last four matchups, including an 87-74 victory in the most recent game. Florida has won 4 of the last 7 meetings.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Florida has a strong home-court advantage and is favored by the public (52% of bets on Florida). The game is played at a high tempo, but both teams have faced weaker competition so far.
- This is a rivalry game, and Florida is highly motivated to maintain dominance. Florida State is motivated to break the losing streak and prove themselves against a ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -4500, away: 1600 | Florida Gators | Not available |
| Spread | home: -19.5, away: 19.5 | Florida Gators -19.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 179.5, under: 179.5 | Under 179.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Gators -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 179.5 39% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 179.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida Gators to win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total.
Predicted Score: Florida Gators 86, Florida St Seminoles 72