Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Loyola Marymount Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Ocean Center, Daytona Beach, FL
Game Overview
The Florida Atlantic Owls (4-1) host the undefeated Loyola Marymount Lions (6-0) in a non-conference matchup at the Ocean Center. The game is part of the Sunshine Slam – Beach Division. Florida Atlantic enters as a slight favorite, but Loyola Marymount has shown strong offensive and defensive form, outscoring opponents by a wide margin. Both teams are coming off strong performances, with Florida Atlantic winning four of their last five and Loyola Marymount riding a six-game winning streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida Atlantic has a solid offensive output, averaging 83.8 points per game, but their defense has allowed 73 points per game. Loyola Marymount is averaging 87.3 points per game and has held opponents to just 63.8 points per game. Loyola Marymount leads in field goal percentage (52.6% vs 46.4%) and field goal percentage allowed (37.7% vs 43.1%). Florida Atlantic has a slight edge in assists (14.0 vs 17.7) and turnovers (10.6 vs 10.5).
- Recent head-to-head matchups show a competitive series, but Loyola Marymount has won the last two meetings. The last five matchups have been split, with both teams showing the ability to win on neutral or away courts.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at a neutral venue (Ocean Center), which may slightly favor Florida Atlantic due to their experience in neutral-site games. The crowd support could be a factor, but both teams have shown resilience in such environments.
- Loyola Marymount is motivated to extend their undefeated streak and prove themselves against a strong Florida Atlantic team. Florida Atlantic is looking to bounce back after a recent loss and solidify their position as a top team in their conference.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls: -155, Loyola Marymount Lions: 130 | Florida Atlantic Owls | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Florida Atlantic Owls: -2.5, Loyola Marymount Lions: 2.5 | Loyola Marymount Lions +2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5, Under: 150.5 | Over 150.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Loyola Marymount is expected to cover the spread and keep the game close, but Florida Atlantic is favored to win outright. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of putting up points. Loyola Marymount's strong defense and recent form make them a solid pick to cover the spread, while the total is expected to go over 150.5 points.
Predicted Score: Florida Atlantic 76, Loyola Marymount 74