Match Analysis: Florida A&M Rattlers vs Kennesaw St Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Al Lawson Center, Tallahassee
Game Overview
Kennesaw State Owls enter the game as a strong favorite against Florida A&M Rattlers, backed by superior recent form and statistical advantages. Kennesaw State is undefeated this season (1-0), while Florida A&M is 0-1. The Owls have demonstrated better offensive efficiency and defensive metrics, leading to a projected controlled win at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kennesaw State has shown balanced offensive and defensive capabilities, ranking around 104th in points scored and 213th in points allowed, with solid shooting percentages. Florida A&M struggles offensively, ranking 228th in scoring, with a weaker defense (278th in points allowed). Florida A&M’s overall form is poor with a 0-1 record.
- Recent direct matchups and simulations heavily favor Kennesaw State, with a 78% win probability from model simulations. Historical matchups show they outperform Florida A&M both offensively and defensively.
- No significant injury reports affecting either side were noted close to game time, implying both teams will likely play their expected lineups.
- Game played at Florida A&M's home court, but home advantage is mitigated by the difference in team quality and Kennesaw State’s road performance.
- Kennesaw State, 1-0 and favored to maintain momentum for postseason aspirations, is highly motivated. Florida A&M seeks to avoid an 0-2 start but is under pressure with less depth and experience.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida A&M Rattlers: +340, Kennesaw St Owls: -440 | Kennesaw St Owls | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Florida A&M Rattlers: +9.5 (-108), Kennesaw St Owls: -9.5 (-112) | Kennesaw St Owls -9.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 167.5: -108, Under 167.5: -112 | Under 167.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kennesaw St Owls -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 167.5 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 167.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kennesaw State to win on the moneyline, cover the -9.5 spread, and the game to go under the 167.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Kennesaw State 85 – 76 Florida A&M