Match Analysis: Fenerbahce SK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: SAP Garden
Game Overview
EuroLeague Group Stage Match Day 10. Intense contest between playoff contenders in early to mid-season form. Fenerbahce is generally regarded as one of the deeper, more consistent squads in the league, while Maccabi Tel Aviv is a solid but unpredictable opponent with historical pedigree.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fenerbahce has shown superior domestic and EuroLeague form this season, with deeper rotations, better defense, and more consistent offensive execution. Maccabi Tel Aviv is sometimes inconsistent but has shown flashes of top-tier performance, especially against weaker sides.
- Recent H2H has favored Fenerbahce, especially at home, though games tend to be competitive. Maccabi sometimes struggles with Fenerbahceβs defensive schemes but can rise to the occasion in big games.
- No major injury reports currently, but always possible for late adjustments. Check close to tipoff for the most accurate injury news.
- Neutral venue (SAP Garden) could slightly reduce Fenerbahceβs traditional home edge but not enough to swing the line. Travel and scheduling are not expected to be significant factors for either team.
- Both teams are highly motivated as they jockey for playoff seeding. No clear situational edge, but Fenerbahceβs reputation for professionalism gives them a slight intangible boost.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fenerbahce SK -305 / Maccabi Tel Aviv 245 | Fenerbahce SK | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Fenerbahce SK -7.5 -110 / Maccabi Tel Aviv 7.5 -110 | Maccabi Tel Aviv +7.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 169.5 -110 / Under 169.5 -110 | Under 169.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fenerbahce SK -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 169.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 169.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fenerbahce wins by 6β10 points in a game that is lower-scoring than the market expects, leveraging their defensive focus and superior roster depth to control the pace and outcome.
Predicted Score: Fenerbahce SK 79 β Maccabi Tel Aviv 74