Match Analysis: Fenerbahce SK vs Hapoel Tel Aviv – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ulker Sports Arena, Istanbul
Game Overview
The Euroleague match features Fenerbahce SK hosting Hapoel Tel Aviv in a high-stakes regular season encounter. Fenerbahce, recent EuroLeague champions with a strong home record (7-2), face a talented and well-traveled Hapoel Tel Aviv, who have posted a solid away record (7-2). This game is key for maintaining momentum in a competitive group.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fenerbahce comes off consecutive EuroLeague titles (2024, 2025), with key contributors like Nigel Hayes-Davis and Wade Baldwin maintaining form. Their home performance is notable with 7 wins out of 9 games. Hapoel Tel Aviv has an impressive 15-3 season record overall, showing resilience especially on the road (7-2 away). Recent form indicates a slightly better win ratio for Fenerbahce in EuroLeague.
- Previous encounters have favored Fenerbahce primarily at home, with Fenerbahce Beko historically strong against Israeli teams in EuroLeague play. The head-to-head record tilts mildly towards Fenerbahce, especially under Coach Sarunas Jasikevicius' tactical setups.
- No major injury reports or absences have been cited for either team ahead of the match, suggesting full or near-full strength squads.
- Playing at the Ulker Sports Arena provides Fenerbahce with a substantial home-court advantage supported by passionate fans. Travel and schedule congestion appear manageable for Hapoel Tel Aviv, with no significant external disruptions noted.
- Fenerbahce aims to consolidate their strong EuroLeague standing early in the season by defending home court, while Hapoel Tel Aviv looks to prove their credentials away and maintain a top position in the group, adding competitive edge from both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fenerbahce SK: -121, Hapoel Tel Aviv: -103 | Fenerbahce SK | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Fenerbahce SK: -1 (-114), Hapoel Tel Aviv: +1 (-109) | Fenerbahce SK -1 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 165.5 (-113), Under: 165.5 (-110) | Over 165.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fenerbahce SK 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 165.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Fenerbahce SK at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fenerbahce SK is predicted to edge a competitive game given their home advantage, recent championship pedigree, and slightly superior head-to-head record against Hapoel Tel Aviv. Expect a close, high-tempo match with an emphasis on defense and disciplined execution by Fenerbahce.
Predicted Score: Fenerbahce SK 84 – 80 Hapoel Tel Aviv