Match Analysis: FC Barcelona Bàsquet vs Real Madrid – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Palau Blaugrana, Barcelona, Spain
Game Overview
EuroLeague basketball match between FC Barcelona Bàsquet and Real Madrid, two top Spanish rivals with recent mixed form and closely contested head-to-head history.
Key Factors to Consider
- Barcelona holds a 5-3 record (62.5%) and averages 86.4 points per game with a recent 2-game win streak, while Real Madrid stands at 4-4 (50%) with a strong defense allowing only 79.9 points on average but recent away struggles in EuroLeague.
- Real Madrid has won 6 of the last 10 EuroLeague meetings and the last two matches, including an overtime win away. However, Barcelona won 3 of their last 5 at home against Madrid.
- No significant injuries reported for either side, both squads expected to field their core players.
- Match played at Barcelona's home court Palau Blaugrana, providing home court advantage. Motivation is high on both sides given rivalry intensity and league implications.
- Barcelona aims to consolidate their top 8 standing with a home win; Real Madrid aims to recover from recent losses and shore up their away EuroLeague performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -122, away: 100 | FC Barcelona | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
| Spread | home: -109, away: -114 | FC Barcelona -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | over: -109, under: -114 | Over 168.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Barcelona Bàsquet 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 168.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 168.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Barcelona to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go over 168.5 total points.
Predicted Score: 86-81 FC Barcelona