Match Analysis: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs East Texas A&M Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hackensack, N.J. – Bogota Savings Bank Center
Game Overview
The East Texas A&M Lions face the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights in the FDU Basketball Classic. Both teams are in the early stages of their 2025-26 seasons, with East Texas A&M entering the game with a 2-3 record and Fairleigh Dickinson at 1-4. The game is part of a multi-team event and will be played at Fairleigh Dickinson's home venue.
Key Factors to Consider
- East Texas A&M is 2-3 overall and 0-3 away from home, struggling on the road. Fairleigh Dickinson is 1-4 overall and 1-0 at home, showing a slight edge in home performance. East Texas A&M is ninth in the Southland Conference with 9.6 offensive rebounds per game, led by Michael Folarin. Fairleigh Dickinson's top performers include Noah Melson (12.8 ppg, 38.3% shooting) and Eric Parnell (3.6 made 3-pointers per game). East Texas A&M's leading scorer is Ronnie Harrison Jr. (15.4 ppg), with Vinny Sigona averaging 11.0 ppg.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, as this is a non-conference game and the teams have not played each other in recent seasons.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game.
- The game is part of the FDU Basketball Classic, which may add some tournament pressure. Fairleigh Dickinson is playing at home, which could provide a slight advantage. East Texas A&M is on the road for the third consecutive game, which may affect their performance.
- Both teams are looking to improve their records and gain momentum early in the season. Fairleigh Dickinson is seeking to build on their first home win, while East Texas A&M aims to break their road losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Texas A&M Lions: -135, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: 114 | East Texas A&M Lions | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | East Texas A&M Lions: -2.5 100, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: 2.5 -120 | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +2.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 152.5 -115, Under: 152.5 -105 | Over 152.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Texas A&M Lions -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 152.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 152.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Texas A&M is favored by the bookmakers, but Fairleigh Dickinson's home advantage and recent performance could make this a close game. East Texas A&M's stronger offensive rebounding and scoring may give them the edge, but Fairleigh Dickinson's home crowd could push them to cover the spread.
Predicted Score: East Texas A&M Lions 78, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 75