Match Analysis: Evansville Purple Aces vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Evansville, Indiana
Game Overview
This NCAA Men's Basketball matchup features the Evansville Purple Aces hosting the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in an early-season conference contest. Both teams are entering the game with 0-0 records, indicating this is part of the early preseason or non-conference slate. The game presents an interesting matchup with relatively balanced odds, suggesting both teams are viewed as competitive at the start of the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Insufficient detailed statistical data is available from the provided search results to analyze team performance metrics such as offensive efficiency, defensive rating, three-point shooting percentages, or turnover rates. Both teams appear evenly matched based on the moneyline odds being nearly identical (-112 for Evansville and -108 for Middle Tennessee).
- Head-to-head historical data between these programs is not provided in the available search results. This limiting factor makes it difficult to identify historical trends or patterns that might indicate which team has historically performed better in this matchup.
- No injury information or player availability data is available from the provided search results. Current roster status, key player absences, or health concerns for either team cannot be assessed.
- The game is being played in Evansville, giving the Purple Aces a home-court advantage. However, this advantage appears modest based on the betting lines, with Evansville favored by only 1.5 points.
- As an early-season game with both teams at 0-0, motivation levels should be comparable. Both teams are likely seeking to establish early momentum and build confidence heading into their respective seasons.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Evansville -112 | Middle Tennessee -108 | Evansville Purple Aces (slight favorite) | β β β ββ 52% |
| Spread | Evansville -1.5 (102) | Middle Tennessee +1.5 (-122) | Evansville covers the spread | β β β ββ 51% |
| Over/under | Over 142.5 (-105) | Under 142.5 (-115) | Under 142.5 | β β β ββ 53% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Evansville Purple Aces -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 -4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Evansville Purple Aces at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the balanced betting market, this game is expected to be highly competitive. Evansville holds a slight edge due to home-court advantage, but the differential is minimal. The relatively tight spread (-1.5) and nearly identical moneyline odds suggest oddsmakers view this as a coin-flip matchup with slight Evansville favoritism.
Predicted Score: Evansville Purple Aces 70, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 68