Match Analysis: Duquesne Dukes vs Sacred Heart Pioneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh
Game Overview
Duquesne Dukes host Sacred Heart Pioneers in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter 1-0, but Duquesne is heavily favored at home with a double-digit spread and a moneyline near -900. The projected total is 154.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Duquesne is ranked 304th in points scored (69.1) but 48th in points allowed (67.3), indicating a strong defensive identity. Sacred Heart is 123rd in scoring (75.8) but 277th in points allowed (75.2), showing defensive vulnerability. Sacred Heart's Anquan Hill is a standout (21 PPG, 12 RPG), but Duquesne's team defense and rebounding edge (John Hugley, 8 RPG) should neutralize that.
- No recent H2H data available, but Duquesne's defensive profile and home-court advantage are significant.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game is at Duquesne's home venue, UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, which is a strong defensive environment. The Dukes are motivated to build on their early season momentum.
- Duquesne is highly motivated to establish dominance in non-conference play and protect their home court. Sacred Heart is a mid-major with less national profile and less defensive discipline.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -900, away: 570 | Duquesne Dukes | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | home: -10.5, away: 10.5 | Duquesne Dukes -10.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: 154.5, under: 154.5 | Under 154.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Duquesne Dukes -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Duquesne Dukes will win comfortably, cover the spread, and the game will stay under the total due to their defensive style and Sacred Heart's defensive weaknesses.
Predicted Score: Duquesne 73, Sacred Heart 53