Match Analysis: Duquesne Dukes vs Queens University Royals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA
Game Overview
The Duquesne Dukes host the Queens University Royals in an early non-conference NCAA basketball match. Duquesne holds a strong 2-0 record with recent victories and good home performance, while Queens University struggles with a 1-2 record, including a recent heavy loss. The game is expected to feature defensive intensity from Duquesne and reliance on key transfer players.
Key Factors to Consider
- Duquesne is unbeaten (2-0) with solid defensive and offensive output, recently winning 92-80 against Sacred Heart. Queens has a 1-2 record with a significant loss (94-74) to Villanova and a negative point differential. Duquesne plays well at home (2-0) and averages 87.5 points per game compared to Queens' lower scoring output and defensive struggles.
- No recent direct head-to-head matchups noted for this season between Duquesne and Queens University. Duquesne, a stronger Division I program, is favored over Queens, a smaller school with less success historically in top-level competition.
- No specific injury reports found for either team as of match date. Both teams appear to have key players available.
- The game is at Duquesne's home court, UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, which favors the home team. Duquesne benefits from strong defensive rankings nationally, especially in 3-point defense, against a Queens team that averages 25.3 three-point attempts per game.
- Duquesne is building momentum early in the season after an NCAA tournament upset last year and will be motivated to maintain the unbeaten start. Queens looks to stabilize their losing start and prove competitive on the road against a higher-profile opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Duquesne Dukes: -1300, Queens University Royals: 730 | Duquesne Dukes to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Duquesne Dukes: -11.5 -120, Queens University Royals: +11.5 -102 | Duquesne Dukes to cover -11.5 points | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 159.5: -108, Under 159.5: -116 | Under 159.5 total points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Duquesne Dukes -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 159.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 159.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Duquesne is strongly favored to win both straight up and against the spread due to superior team stats, home advantage, and recent form. The total points are expected to stay under 159.5 given Duquesne's strong defense and Queens' recent offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Duquesne Dukes 85 – Queens University Royals 72