Match Analysis: Duke Blue Devils vs Howard Bison – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium
Game Overview
Duke Blue Devils, ranked No. 5 nationally and undefeated at 6-0, host the Howard Bison (3-3) in a non-conference matchup. Duke is a heavy favorite, with a spread of -41.5 and a total set at 151.5 points. The game is expected to be a showcase of Duke's dominant defense and offensive efficiency against a Howard team that has shown some scoring ability but struggles defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Duke boasts a +219 scoring differential, averaging 93.7 points per game (20th nationally) and allowing only 57.2 points per game (6th nationally). Their offensive rating is 115.3 points per 100 possessions (13th), and their defensive rating is 70.3 points per 100 possessions (5th). Howard averages 97.8 points per 100 possessions (189th) and allows 93 points per 100 possessions (225th). Duke's rebounding margin is +12.2 per game, while Howard is slightly positive in rebounding (+2.1 per game). Duke's recent win was 100-42 over Niagara, while Howard won 80-70 against the same team.
- No recent head-to-head history is available for this matchup. Duke is a perennial powerhouse, while Howard is a mid-major program with limited exposure to top-tier competition.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Duke is playing at home in Cameron Indoor Stadium, a notoriously tough environment for visiting teams. The game is part of Duke's early-season schedule, often used to build momentum and prepare for conference play.
- Duke is motivated to maintain its undefeated record and national ranking. Howard is looking to prove itself against a top-five team and potentially pull off an upset, which would be a major achievement for the program.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Duke -41.5 -118, Howard +41.5 -104 | Duke Blue Devils | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Duke -41.5 -118, Howard +41.5 -104 | Duke Blue Devils -41.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 151.5 -110, Under 151.5 -110 | Under 151.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 151.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Duke is expected to win decisively, covering the large spread and likely keeping the game under the total. The Blue Devils' defensive prowess and offensive efficiency should overwhelm Howard, who struggles to contain high-level competition. Duke's depth and talent, led by Cameron Boozer and Bryce Harris, give them a clear edge in all facets of the game.
Predicted Score: Duke Blue Devils 88, Howard Bison 62