Match Analysis: Drexel Dragons vs Pennsylvania Quakers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Daskalakis Athletic Center, Philadelphia, PA
Game Overview
The Drexel Dragons (2-3) host the Pennsylvania Quakers (2-2) in a NCAA college basketball matchup. Drexel holds a home advantage with an undefeated home record (2-0) this season, while Penn has struggled on the road (0-2). The game is expected to be competitive with Drexel favored by 5.5 points and a total points line set at 153.5. Drexel's defense and rebounding superiority may prove decisive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Drexel averages 73.2 points per game, ranking 276th nationally, and allows 69.6 points defensively. They shoot 41.0% from the field and 32.3% from three-point range. Pennsylvania averages 90.3 points, shooting 44.7% overall and 41.6% from beyond the arc, indicating a more potent offense but weaker defense. Drexel excels in rebounding (top 16 nationally) and defensive efficiency, holding teams below 70 points on average.
- The most recent meeting favored Drexel with a 60-47 victory. Overall head-to-head history suggests Drexel's defensive edge plays a key role. Both teams have split wins recently, but Drexel's prior home success and a 75-43 last game win demonstrate stronger form.
- No specific injury reports are currently available for either team ahead of this matchup, implying healthy lineups on both sides.
- The game is being played at Drexelβs home venue, which has given the Dragons a perfect home record this season. Drexel also benefits from strong local support. Betting public shows 100% backing Drexel on moneyline, indicating strong market confidence.
- Drexel aims to improve a losing overall record and maintain home dominance. Pennsylvania seeks to prove resilience on the road and build from their recent win against Saint Josephβs. Both have incentive to secure a conference statement win early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Drexel: -225, Pennsylvania: 185 | Drexel Dragons to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Drexel: -5.5 -110, Pennsylvania: +5.5 -110 | Drexel Dragons to cover -5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 -112, Under: 153.5 -108 | Over 153.5 points | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Drexel Dragons 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 153.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Drexel Dragons are favored to win the game by covering the -5.5 point spread, with an expected final score around 80-75. Their defensive strength and home advantage are decisive.
Predicted Score: Drexel Dragons 80, Pennsylvania Quakers 75