Match Analysis: Drake Bulldogs vs Robert Morris Colonials – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Knapp Center, Des Moines, IA
Game Overview
Drake Bulldogs host Robert Morris Colonials in an early-season NCAA Basketball matchup. Drake (1-0) is coming off a home win against Northern Arizona (77-71), while Robert Morris (0-1) suffered a heavy road loss at Iowa (101-69). Drake is the clear favorite, riding a 21-game home night game winning streak, while Robert Morris has struggled on the road vs. non-conference opponents and has lost 7 of their last 9 such games[3]. The game is expected to be lower-scoring compared to Robert Morrisβ recent outings, with Drakeβs recent games against non-AP-ranked opponents trending under, but Robert Morrisβ games tending to go over[3].
Key Factors to Consider
- Drake showed resilience by overcoming a halftime deficit to win their opener, led by Jalen Quinn (20 points). They won the rebounding battle and shot decently (45% FG, 32% 3P). Defensively, they held Northern Arizona to 37% shooting and limited fouls. Robert Morris, meanwhile, was overpowered by Iowa, trailing wire-to-wire and offering little resistance defensively[2][3].
- No recent direct head-to-head data available. Drake is strong at home, while Robert Morris has struggled on the road, especially against non-conference foes[3].
- No major injury news reported for either team.
- Venue: Knapp Center is a strong home-court advantage for Drake, who haven't lost a night game there in 21 tries[3]. Timing: Early-season form and chemistry may still be developing for both squads.
- Drake aims to build momentum after a solid but not dominant opening win. Robert Morris seeks to bounce back from a blowout and prove they can compete on the road. However, motivation is likely higher for Drake given their home streak and status as favorites.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -450, away: +340 | Drake Bulldogs win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | home: -8.5 (-110), away: +8.5 (-110) | Drake Bulldogs cover (-8.5) | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over: 150.5 (-110), under: 150.5 (-110) | Under 150.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Drake Bulldogs -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 150.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Drake is the stronger, more experienced team with significant home-court advantage. Robert Morrisβ road struggles and defensive issues suggest Drake should cover the spread in a lower-scoring contest, but the total is a tougher call due to conflicting recent trends between the two teams[2][3].
Predicted Score: Drake Bulldogs 76, Robert Morris Colonials 65