Match Analysis: Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena
Game Overview
The Detroit Pistons host the Philadelphia 76ers at Little Caesars Arena in a matchup that pits two teams with contrasting recent form and playoff aspirations. The Pistons have shown resilience at home, while the 76ers have struggled on the road. Both teams are looking to solidify their standings in the Eastern Conference, making this a pivotal contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Pistons have won 4 of their last 5 home games, averaging 116.5 points per game and allowing 114.9. The 76ers have lost 4 of their last 5 away games, averaging 115.3 points but conceding 116.9. Both teams are scoring at a high pace, but the 76ers' defense has been vulnerable on the road.
- The 76ers lead the all-time regular season series 234-161, but the Pistons have won the last two meetings, including a 125-112 victory at home. In the last 10 matchups, the 76ers have won 7, but the Pistons have won 4 of the last 5 at Little Caesars Arena. The Pistons have a slight edge in recent home encounters.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters are expected to be at full strength, which could influence the intensity and outcome of the game.
- The game is being played at Little Caesars Arena, where the Pistons have a strong home record. The crowd support and home-court advantage could play a significant role. Weather and travel are not factors for this indoor game.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings. The Pistons are looking to build momentum for a playoff push, while the 76ers aim to solidify their position in the Eastern Conference. The recent head-to-head results add extra motivation for both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons: -210, Philadelphia 76ers: 176 | Detroit Pistons | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Detroit Pistons: -5.5 -110, Philadelphia 76ers: 5.5 -110 | Detroit Pistons -5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 232.5 -110, Under: 232.5 -110 | Over | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 232.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 232.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Pistons are favored at home, but the 76ers have a strong overall record against the Pistons. The recent form and home advantage give the Pistons a slight edge, but the 76ers' offensive firepower could make this a close game. The Pistons are predicted to win by a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: Detroit Pistons 118 – 114 Philadelphia 76ers