Match Analysis: Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-01
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Game Overview
The Detroit Pistons defeated the New York Knicks 106-103 in Game 5 (April 29, 2025) to force Game 6. Detroit's Cade Cunningham (24 points) and Tobias Harris (22 points) led the charge, while the Knicks' OG Anunoby (19 points) and Jalen Brunson's struggles (4-of-16 shooting) proved costly. New York leads the series 3-2 heading into this game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pistons showed clutch execution in Game 5, particularly from Cunningham (fourth 20/5/5 playoff game). Knicks have lost five straight series-clinching home games historically[2].
- Recent momentum favors Pistons after Game 5 victory, though Knicks retain series lead[2][4].
- No specific injury updates from Game 5 reports; assume full availability unless stated otherwise.
- Detroit's home crowd energy and New York's pressure to avoid elimination game in potential Game 7[2][4].
- Pistons fighting to extend series, Knicks aiming to close out on road[2].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | DET -130 / NYK +110 | Pistons Moneyline | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Spread | DET -2 (-112) / NYK +2 (-108) | Pistons Cover (-2) | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 212.5 (-108) / Under 212.5 (-112) | Under 212.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Pistons 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 212.5 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Detroit Pistons at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lean Detroit Moneyline (-130) due to momentum, home court, and Brunson's recent shooting dip. Expect a close spread (-2) cover. Total likely UNDER 212.5 given playoff intensity.
Predicted Score: Detroit 107-103 New York