Match Analysis: DePaul Blue Demons vs Stonehill Skyhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
Game Overview
This season opener features DePaul, a Big East program, hosting Stonehill, a recent D1 upstart. DePaul is heavily favored, reflecting both talent disparity and program pedigree. Both teams are undefeated (1-0), but DePaulβs victory over Chicago State and Stonehillβs over Thomas College suggest a major gap in competition faced. Odds reflect DePaulβs expected dominance, with a 21.5-point spread and a total near 146.
Key Factors to Consider
- DePaul is far more battle-tested, playing in a major conference, while Stonehill is adjusting to top-tier competition after a blowout win over a low-level opponent[3]. DePaulβs offense ranks 218th nationally (72.4 PPG), while Stonehill is 307th (68.7 PPG)βboth mediocre, but DePaulβs defensive pedigree (251st, 74.5 PPG allowed) is marginally worse than Stonehillβs (116th, 70.1 PPG allowed)[6].
- No recent H2H record; these programs are meeting for the first time.
- No injuries reported for either team[4].
- DePaul is at home, with a likely crowd backing them. No external factors (weather, travel, etc.) stand out as impactful.
- DePaul is highly motivated to avoid any slip-ups against lower-tier programs; Stonehill is looking for a major upset but likely sees this as a learning experience.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | DePaul -20000, Stonehill +2800 | DePaul wins | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | DePaul -22.5 (-102), Stonehill +22.5 (-118) | DePaul covers -22.5 | β β β β β 81% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5 (-115), Under 145.5 (-105) | Under 145.5 | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
DePaulβs superior talent, experience, and home court should equal a comfortable double-digit win. Stonehillβs offense will struggle against Big East athletes, and DePaulβs defense, while not elite, is strong enough to contain a lower-tier D1 attack. Expect a modest-paced game with DePaul pulling away after halftime.
Predicted Score: DePaul 80, Stonehill 57