Match Analysis: Dayton Flyers vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: UD Arena, Dayton, OH
Game Overview
The Dayton Flyers (2-1) host the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (1-2) in a non-conference early-season NCAA men's basketball matchup. Dayton is heavily favored both by odds and historical performance at home, coming off solid defensive stats and strong rebounding. Bethune-Cookman showed offensive potential in their last outing but are overall outmatched.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dayton averages 75.7 points per game on 44.5% shooting and allows 64.3 points on 42.5% shooting, ranking well defensively with strong rebounding (28.7 RPG). Bethune-Cookman averages 64.5 points with 48.2% shooting but concedes 74.1 points per game.
- Dayton has a dominating history at home against non-conference opponents, winning 17 straight night games there. Bethune-Cookman has lost eight of nine non-conference games recently.
- No significant current injury reports affecting either team that impact starters or depth.
- Game is played at Daytonβs home arena (UD Arena) giving them strong home court advantage. Scheduled on a neutral Saturday night in November, the timing and location favor Daytonβs routine and morale.
- Dayton is motivated to maintain its strong home record and improve to 3-1 with a statement win. Bethune-Cookman looks to build momentum after a strong offensive win but faces a steep challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dayton Flyers -3500, Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +1280 | Dayton Flyers | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Dayton Flyers -17.5 (-120), Bethune-Cookman Wildcats +17.5 (-102) | Dayton Flyers -17.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 148.5 (-115), Under 148.5 (-105) | Under 148.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dayton Flyers -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 148.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dayton Flyers to win outright, cover the spread of -17.5, and the total to go under 148.5 points.
Predicted Score: Dayton Flyers 79 – Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 63