Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Leede Arena, Hanover, NH
Game Overview
Dartmouth Big Green hosts Marist Red Foxes in a non-conference matchup. Dartmouth is 0-0, coming off a winning season, while Marist is 0-1 after a narrow road loss to Xavier. Both teams are seeking early momentum, with Marist favored by a slim margin on the spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marist showed offensive efficiency (47.7% FG) but struggled with turnovers (18) and three-point shooting (3-of-10) in their opener. Dartmouth is fresh off a winning season but has not played yet this year. Marist has won the last three H2H matchups, including a 75-62 win over Dartmouth last season.
- Marist has dominated recent meetings, winning the last three matchups. Most recent was a 75-62 victory. Dartmouth has not beaten Marist in recent years.
- No reported injuries for either team.
- Game is at Leede Arena, Dartmouth's home court. Marist is on the road after a tough loss. Dartmouth has a slight home-court advantage, but Marist is battle-tested early.
- Marist is motivated to bounce back from a close loss. Dartmouth is eager to start the season strong after a successful previous campaign.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -115, away: -105 | Dartmouth Big Green | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | home: -1.5 -110, away: 1.5 -110 | Marist Red Foxes +1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 139.5 -115, under: 139.5 -105 | Under 139.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dartmouth Big Green 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dartmouth Big Green will win a close game, but Marist's recent dominance in H2H and strong offensive showing in their opener suggest a competitive contest. The game will be low-scoring due to Marist's turnover issues and Dartmouth's defensive focus.
Predicted Score: Dartmouth 71, Marist 68