Match Analysis: Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:40 AM UTC
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas
Game Overview
The Phoenix Suns (6-5) visit the Dallas Mavericks (3-8) in a Western Conference matchup. Suns are on a three-game winning streak, led by Devin Booker’s strong scoring and efficient shooting. Mavericks struggle offensively and have a poor home record, while Suns have been better overall but weak on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Suns hold a better overall record (6-5) compared to Mavericks' (3-8) and are currently on a three-game winning streak. Mavericks have struggled with offensive efficiency and consistency, especially at home (2-5). Suns’ perimeter shooting ranks among the top in the league with strong three-point accuracy and high scoring average (116.4 PPG).
- Recent H2H favors Suns with Phoenix winning several close contests. Past meetings suggest competitive outcomes with Suns often edging out Mavericks with strong perimeter shooting and controlled pace.
- Phoenix’s Jalen Green is out, affecting depth. Mavericks have had key injury issues impacting team chemistry and scoring ability, contributing to their poor form.
- Game played at Dallas home provides Mavericks with slight crowd advantage, but Suns' momentum and shooting ability offset this edge.
- Suns are motivated to extend winning streak and consolidate playoff position. Mavericks seek to improve home record and rebound from recent losses but have lower morale and consistency issues.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 (Dallas) / -106 (Phoenix) | Phoenix Suns | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | -106 (Dallas -1) / -114 (Phoenix +1) | Phoenix Suns +1 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
| Over/under | -114 (Over 227.5) / -106 (Under 227.5) | Under 227.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 227.5 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 227.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Phoenix Suns moneyline win
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 119 – Dallas Mavericks 107