Match Analysis: Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Bucks (6-4) travel to face the Dallas Mavericks (3-7) in Dallas. Bucks are slight favorites with narrow spreads and a high total points projection, indicating a closely contested game with offensive potential.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Bucks have a significantly better record at 6-4 versus Dallas Mavericks' 3-7 and are averaging about 120 points per game while allowing 118.5, showing strong offensive and moderate defensive stats. Dallas recently won a close game against Washington, showing some home resilience.
- Milwaukee Bucks hold an advantage with 8 wins in the last 10 matchups against Dallas, demonstrating historical dominance that influences confidence in betting the Bucks.
- No major injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect key players or overall team rotations according to available data.
- The game is played at Dallas' home court, which could provide the Mavericks with an intensity boost, but the Bucks have proven effective on the road this season.
- The Bucks, with a better record and recent losses they seek to avenge, carry stronger motivation to maintain winning momentum, whereas the Mavericks are motivated to improve their poor season start but have shown inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 | Milwaukee Bucks | β β β β β 76% |
| Spread | -118 | Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | -115 | Under 230.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Bucks 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 230.5 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 230.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Milwaukee Bucks Moneyline to win, with the Bucks covering the 1.5-point spread and the total to go under 230.5 points.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Bucks 116 – Dallas Mavericks 112