Match Analysis: CSU Northridge Matadors vs Troy Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-17
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Premier America Credit Union Arena, Northridge, CA
Game Overview
Troy Trojans (3-1) visit CSU Northridge Matadors (2-2) in a non-conference matchup. Troy enters as a slight favorite, with both teams seeking momentum after mixed starts. The game features contrasting offensive and defensive profiles, with Troy showing more consistency and CSUN struggling with turnovers and defensive lapses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Troy has won 9 of its last 11 games, including two outright wins as an underdog. They average 87.8 points per game on 48.6% shooting and force 12.5 turnovers per game. CSUN averages 80.3 points but allows 72.9, shoots 46.8% overall, and gives up transition opportunities. Troy has covered the spread in each of its last 5 games as a favorite, while CSUN has failed to cover 7 of its last 9.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available, but Troyβs recent form and road performance suggest a clear edge.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- CSUN returns home after three straight road games, which may provide a slight boost, but their home non-conference record is inconsistent. Troy has shown strong road form and adaptability.
- Troy is motivated to bounce back from a recent loss and build momentum before a tough matchup with San Diego State. CSUN seeks to stabilize after a shaky start and capitalize on home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 160, away: -192 | Troy Trojans | Not available |
| Spread | home: 3.5 -105, away: -3.5 -115 | Troy Trojans -3.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 156.5 -110, under: 156.5 -110 | Under 156.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Troy Trojans -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Troy Trojans to win and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total.
Predicted Score: Troy 82, CSU Northridge 75