Match Analysis: CSU Fullerton Titans vs St. Thomas (MN) Tommies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: Chiles Center, Portland, OR
Game Overview
The CSU Fullerton Titans (1-3) host the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (3-2) in a college basketball matchup. The Titans are struggling with a 1-3 record and have shown defensive weaknesses, surrendering 88.0 points per game and allowing 44.8% shooting to opponents, while the Tommies come in with a stronger 3-2 record and recent momentum including a close win over Northern Colorado. St. Thomas is favored to win comfortably by bookmakers and analysts.
Key Factors to Consider
- CSU Fullerton has been offensively inconsistent, shooting 33.8% in their last outing and giving up high field goal percentages defensively. They average 88.0 points allowed per game. St. Thomas has a better offensive output and is currently on a 3-game winning streak. Their defense and recent form suggest they have a notable advantage.
- No detailed recent head-to-head data found in sources, indicating potentially limited recent matchups or low-profile history. St. Thomas' superior record and form suggest dominance in a hypothetical direct comparison.
- No injury reports or absences for either team were reported in the gathered data, implying both teams are expected to play at full strength.
- The game is played at the Chiles Center in Portland, OR, which is a neutral venue for both teams; no significant home-court advantage is expected. Public money heavily favors St. Thomas on the moneyline and spread, indicating strong market confidence in their performance.
- St. Thomas aims to extend their winning streak and capitalize on their solid early season form. CSU Fullerton, with a losing record and defensive issues, is motivated to improve but is under significant pressure to avoid further losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CSU Fullerton Titans: 365, St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: -490 | St. Thomas (MN) Tommies to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | CSU Fullerton Titans: 9.5 -110, St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: -9.5 -110 | St. Thomas to cover -9.5 spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 156.5 -115, Under: 156.5 -105 | Under 156.5 total points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Thomas (MN) Tommies -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies are predicted to win convincingly, covering the spread of -9.5 points with over 60% confidence due to their recent form, superior defense, and offensive efficiency compared to CSU Fullerton.
Predicted Score: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies 82 – CSU Fullerton Titans 70