Match Analysis: CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Western Illinois Leathernecks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Icardo Center, Bakersfield, CA
Game Overview
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners host Western Illinois Leathernecks in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Both teams are early in their seasons, with CSU Bakersfield entering at 1-1 and Western Illinois at 0-2. The Roadrunners are favored at home, with the spread set at -6.5 and the total at 143.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- CSU Bakersfield has shown moderate offensive efficiency and solid defense in their first two games, while Western Illinois has struggled offensively, shooting below 41% from the field in their last outing and failing to score more than 58 points. Western Illinois also allowed Iowa to shoot 52% in their last game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available for these teams, so the analysis is based on current season form and statistical trends.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- CSU Bakersfield plays at home, which typically provides a slight edge in college basketball. The game is being played at the Icardo Center, a venue where the Roadrunners have a strong home record in recent years.
- Western Illinois is seeking their first win of the season and may be motivated to avoid an 0-3 start. CSU Bakersfield will look to build momentum after a split in their first two games.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -235 | CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | -105 | CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners -6.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | -110 | Under 143.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 143.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
CSU Bakersfield covers the -6.5 spread and wins outright, but the game stays under the total due to Western Illinois's offensive struggles and CSU Bakersfield's defensive discipline.
Predicted Score: CSU Bakersfield 72, Western Illinois 68