Match Analysis: Creighton Bluejays vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: CHI Health Center Omaha, Omaha, NE
Game Overview
Creighton Bluejays host North Dakota Fighting Hawks in a non-conference NCAA matchup. Creighton enters as heavy favorites, boasting a 2-1 record and strong home form, while North Dakota is 2-3 with recent struggles, especially on the road and against ranked opponents. The game is expected to be a showcase of Creighton's depth and efficiency, but North Dakota has shown resilience in close contests and could keep the scoreline respectable.
Key Factors to Consider
- Creighton has won 2 of 3, averaging 79.7 points per game and allowing 70.3. Their last game was a dominant 84-45 win over Maryland Eastern Shore, where they shot 49.3% and controlled the boards. North Dakota averages 84.2 points but allows 77.6, with their last game a 128-58 win over Mayville State. They have struggled defensively against stronger competition, losing 6 of their last 7 first halves against AP-ranked teams.
- Creighton won the last meeting 96-61. Creighton has a strong home record against non-conference opponents, winning 14 of their last 15 at CHI Health Center Omaha. North Dakota has lost 17 consecutive Wednesday night games.
- Creighton has Greer Hudson (redshirt), Josh Townley-Thomas (lower leg, out), and Aleksa Dimitrijevic (redshirt). North Dakota has no reported injuries.
- Creighton enjoys a significant home-court advantage and is favored by 26.5 points. North Dakota is a significant underdog, but their recent form suggests they could cover the spread if they avoid a slow start.
- Creighton is motivated to maintain their home dominance and build momentum early in the season. North Dakota seeks to prove they can compete with higher-level programs and avoid a blowout loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -10000, away: 3500 | Creighton Bluejays | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | home: -26.5, away: 26.5 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks +26.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over: 156.5, under: 156.5 | Under 156.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Creighton Bluejays -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Creighton is expected to win decisively, but North Dakota may keep the game within the spread. The total is likely to go under, as both teams have played under the total in recent games and Creighton's defense has been effective.
Predicted Score: Creighton 82 – North Dakota 68