Match Analysis: Cornell Big Red vs Colgate Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Newman Arena, Ithaca
Game Overview
The Cornell Big Red (2-2) host the Colgate Raiders (2-3) in a non-conference matchup at Newman Arena. Cornell enters as a 4.5-point favorite with a total set around 162.5. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but Cornell has a slight edge in recent form and home advantage. The game features contrasting offensive and defensive profiles, with Cornell ranking near the bottom nationally in points allowed per game (84.3, 332nd) and Colgate showing flashes of strong shooting but poor turnover control.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cornell is averaging 74.1 points per game, shooting 47.5% from the field and 34.1% from three, but allowing 84.3 points per game (332nd nationally). They commit 24.3 fouls per game and allow opponents to shoot 45.6% from the field. Colgate averages 72.0 points per game, shooting 48.6% from the field and 33.3% from three, but turn the ball over 13.0 times per game. Colgate's defense is slightly better, allowing 70.8 points per game (178th nationally). Both teams are prone to giving up points and rebounds, suggesting a high-scoring, physical contest.
- Cornell defeated Colgate 84-57 in their most recent meeting, covering the spread and staying under the total. Cornell is 1-0 against Colgate this season and has won the last two matchups. Colgate has struggled to keep games close against Cornell, with both losses by double digits.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Cornell is playing at home, where they are 1-0 this season. Colgate is 1-2 on the road. The game is scheduled for a Friday night, with no major weather or travel disruptions expected. Both teams are coming off recent games, so fatigue is not a major factor.
- Cornell is looking to build momentum after a strong win over Army and a loss to Syracuse. Colgate is seeking to bounce back from a loss to Siena and improve their road record. Both teams are motivated to establish themselves early in the season, but Cornell has more to gain by solidifying their home dominance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colgate Raiders: 172, Cornell Big Red: -215 | Cornell Big Red | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Colgate Raiders: 4.5 -110, Cornell Big Red: -4.5 -110 | Cornell Big Red -4.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 162.5 -116, under: 162.5 -108 | Over 162.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cornell Big Red -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 162.5 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 162.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cornell is favored to win this matchup due to their home advantage, recent form, and head-to-head dominance. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with both teams struggling defensively. Colgate may keep it close early, but Cornell's offensive firepower and rebounding edge should prevail. The total is likely to go over, given both teams' defensive weaknesses and recent scoring trends.
Predicted Score: Cornell Big Red 82, Colgate Raiders 78
