Match Analysis: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Winthrop Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: HTC Center, Coastal Carolina
Game Overview
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers host the Winthrop Eagles in an NCAA Men’s College Basketball game. Both teams enter with 1-1 records. Winthrop is favored by bookmakers with a moneyline of around -170, indicating a roughly 63% implied probability to win. The spread is set at Coastal Carolina +3.5 and Winthrop -3.5. The total points line is at 163.5, with odds slightly favoring the Under. The game is expected to be competitive but possibly low scoring relative to the over/under line.
Key Factors to Consider
- Coastal Carolina won their last game decisively (121-44) but lost their opener. Winthrop lost their last game on the road (90-96) but displayed good free-throw shooting and experienced rebounds deficits. Coastal Carolina shows strong home performance in night games, winning 13 of last 17 at HTC Center, but lost 7 of their last 8 home games following a home win, indicating some inconsistency. Winthrop lost 3 straight road non-Conference games but performs well against non-ranked opponents in night games.
- Recent head-to-head results favor Winthrop narrowly, winning the two most recent matchups by slim margins (90-87 away; 96-89 home), though Coastal Carolina has won 3 of the last 5 overall meetings.
- No reported injuries for either team, suggesting full rosters are available.
- Home-court advantage for Coastal Carolina at HTC Center, which has a strong historic impact. Public betting heavily favors Coastal Carolina with 76% bets despite Winthrop being favored by odds. Coastal Carolina’s recent big blowout win could boost confidence but recent home inconsistencies and slow first halves versus non-conference opponents may be concerns.
- Coastal Carolina looks to build on a strong recent win and assert home dominance. Winthrop aims to correct recent road deficiencies and continue their strong free-throw and scoring form. Both teams have reasons to push hard, adding competitive edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: +138, Winthrop Eagles: -170 | Winthrop Eagles to win | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
| Spread | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: +3.5 -115, Winthrop Eagles: -3.5 -105 | Winthrop Eagles -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 163.5 -106, Under: 163.5 -118 | Under 163.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Winthrop Eagles -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A close game with Winthrop slightly favored due to recent head-to-head success and betting odds. Expect a tight match with moderate scoring. The Under 163.5 is recommended given both teams' tendencies and recent scoring outputs.
Predicted Score: Winthrop Eagles 80 – 75 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers