The Cleveland State Vikings face the Youngstown State Penguins in a Horizon League Tournament semifinal. Cleveland State is favored due to their stronger roster depth and recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
Cleveland State has a more balanced offense with three players averaging double figures, while Youngstown State struggles without their top scorer EJ Farmer. Cleveland State ranks 220th in offense and 123rd in defense, while Youngstown State ranks 262nd in offense and 130th in defense.
These teams split their two regular-season matchups, each winning on the road. Cleveland State's Tevin Smith consistently scored well against Youngstown State.
Youngstown State's EJ Farmer is out with an injury, significantly impacting their scoring capability.
The game is at a neutral site, which could affect team performance. Cleveland State's slower pace may influence the overall scoring.
Both teams are highly motivated, but Cleveland State needs to win to secure a potential NCAA Tournament spot.
Cleveland State is likely to win due to their depth and Youngstown State's injury issues.
Predicted Score: Cleveland State 65, Youngstown State 60
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Cleveland St Vikings vs. Youngstown St Penguins Prediction
Match Analysis: Cleveland St Vikings vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction Match Details Date: March 10, 2025 Time: 1:30 AM UTC Location: Corteva Coliseum, IU Indianapolis Game Overview The Cleveland State Vikings face the Youngstown State Penguins in a Horizon League Tournament semifinal. Cleveland State is favored due to their stronger roster depth and recent […]
Portland Trail Blazers (6-6) travel to Dallas to face the struggling Mavericks (3-10) in a Western Conference matchup. The Mavericks are attempting to break a four-game home losing streak, while Portland enters as the stronger team despite being on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
Portland is 6-6 overall with a 3-4 record on the road, averaging 120.6 PPG while allowing 120.8 PPG (essentially league average). Dallas has been one of the worst teams in the NBA at 3-10, particularly struggling at home (2-7) and ranking as the second-worst efficient offensive team in the league, averaging 109.2 PPG while allowing 115.8 PPG. Dallas is on a three-game losing streak.
Recent matchups show Dallas has won 3 of the last 4 games against Portland, including a 117-111 victory on January 9, 2025. However, these games have been close spreads, suggesting competitive matchups. The historical advantage favors Dallas, but current form trajectories strongly favor Portland.
This is where Dallas faces critical problems. Kyrie Irving and Dante Exum are out entirely. Anthony Davis is listed as doubtful, and PJ Washington is probable. For Portland, the team appears to have no major injury concerns reported. The absence of Irving significantly hampers Dallas's offensive firepower, while Dereck Lively's recent return helps defensively but cannot fully compensate for Irving's loss.
Dallas is playing at home (typically an advantage), but their home record is dismal (2-7). Portland has been resilient on the road (3-4), and the Trail Blazers are ranked 6th in pace while Dallas runs a more methodical offense (15th in pace). Portland's scoring leader Deni Avdija has been exceptional this season (25.8 PPG on 48.8% FG). The Mavericks' desperate need to stop a home losing streak may provide some motivation, but their roster depletion makes this unlikely.
Dallas desperately needs a win to stop the home losing streak and climb out of the Western Conference basement. However, motivation alone cannot overcome significant roster injuries and poor team efficiency. Portland, as the healthier and more efficient team, should be favored despite playing on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
DAL +136 | POR -162
Portland Trail Blazers ML
★★★★☆ 71%
Spread
DAL +3.5 (-110) | POR -3.5 (-110)
Portland Trail Blazers -3.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 233.5 (-112) | Under 233.5 (-108)
Over 233.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Portland Trail Blazers -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 233.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 233.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portland Trail Blazers to win outright and cover the spread. The combination of Dallas's injury crisis (Irving out, Davis doubtful), poor home form (2-7), league-worst offensive efficiency, and Portland's superior health and balanced play makes this a clear matchup advantage for the visitors. While Dallas's home court provides traditional value and Irving's absence makes the moneyline attractive for contrarians, the fundamental team strength disparity is too significant to ignore.
The No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers host the undefeated Akron Zips in an NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams enter with 3-0 records. Purdue is a heavy favorite with strong home performance and slightly slower pace, while Akron is a sturdy underdog with solid recent form and motivation to keep the game competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
Purdue boasts a 3-0 start including a road win over a top-10 opponent and a strong 81.5% moneyline win rate when favored last season. Akron is also 3-0, showing consistency but lacks the elite-level wins Purdue has. Purdue controls pace and rebounds better but Akron's experience and senior leadership are important.
Historically Purdue dominates and is heavily favored by around 20 points. No recent close matchups reported, suggesting a strong Purdue advantage. Combined scoring average last season between them is just above 160 points.
No reported injuries for either team affecting key players. Both teams appear at full strength.
Purdue's home venue Mackey Arena offers a strong home-court advantage with supportive crowd. Akron's travel to Indiana may add slight fatigue but they showed stamina in prior road games.
Purdue aims to maintain unbeaten record and Top 2 national ranking, critical for national title aspirations. Akron seeks respect and to prove competitiveness against elite competition; motivated to keep spread close.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Purdue: -4000, Akron: +1400
Purdue
★★★★★ 93%
Spread
Purdue -19.5: -110, Akron +19.5: -110
Akron +19.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 160.5: -110, Under 160.5: -110
Under 160.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Purdue Boilermakers -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 160.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Purdue to win straight-up on the moneyline, Akron to cover the spread, and the total points to go under 160.5
Golden State Warriors (8-6) face the New Orleans Pelicans (2-10) in New Orleans on Sunday, November 16, 2025. The Warriors are heavy favorites on the road, with the Pelicans struggling defensively and reeling from a coaching change and multiple injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
Warriors rank 10th in defensive efficiency and have won 4 of their last 5 games, including a dramatic win in San Antonio. Pelicans rank 28th in defensive efficiency, allowing 121.3 points per game, and have lost 4 straight, including 3 by 30+ points.
Warriors have dominated recent matchups, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings. Golden State has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head games.
Zion Williamson is questionable (hamstring), Jordan Poole (quadriceps) is out another week. Warriors are relatively healthy, with no major injuries reported.
Pelicans fired head coach Willie Green on Saturday, creating major instability. Smoothie King Center atmosphere may be subdued due to team turmoil and poor record.
Warriors are motivated to solidify playoff positioning. Pelicans are demoralized and in rebuilding mode after firing their coach and enduring a losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-500
Golden State Warriors
★★★★☆ 82%
Spread
-10.5 -108
Golden State Warriors -10.5
★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under
227.5 -110
Over
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Golden State Warriors -2%
Spread
Golden State Warriors -10.5 43%
Over/Under
Over 227.5 30%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Golden State Warriors -10.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Golden State Warriors to win and cover the spread, with a high-scoring game.
The Houston Rockets (8-3) host the Orlando Magic (7-6) in an NBA matchup featuring two teams on three-game winning streaks. The Rockets are favored by around 8.5 points with a total of approximately 227.5 points expected. Both teams have shown recent offensive prowess, but Houston has consistently dominated the Magic in recent head-to-head matchups.
Key Factors to Consider
Houston Rockets are in strong form with an 8-3 record and three consecutive wins, showing solid offense with 125.5 points per game compared to Orlando's defense allowing 113.8. Rockets' recent games have seen them cover the spread in three straight contests and surpass the over/under frequently (69.2% of games go over). Orlando Magic have also won three straight but have been inconsistent against the spread and have fewer over total games at home.
Houston has won the last two head-to-head matches against Orlando, covering the spread both times. The Rockets hold a 2-0 ATS record versus the Magic this season, indicating a strong matchup advantage.
No significant injury reports for either team have been noted, implying both can field their typical starting lineups and rotations.
The game is played at Houston home court, where Rockets show a stronger record (4-1 ATS at home) compared to Orlando’s weaker away performance (3-3 ATS). The Rockets also benefit from a slower pace that suits their efficient scoring style and rebounding dominance.
Both teams are motivated after winning three games in a row, positioning themselves as NBA title sleepers. Houston’s motivation is higher due to home advantage and recent favorable trends driving confidence in a strong performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-340
Houston Rockets
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
-115
Houston Rockets -8.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
-110
Over 227.5
★★★☆☆ 69%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Houston Rockets -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 227.5 32%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 227.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Houston Rockets to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -8.5 spread, and the game to go over 227.5 points, given their offensive strength and historical dominance against Orlando.
Illinois State Redbirds (1-2) travel to Long Beach State 49ers (0-3) in a Week 2 matchup of the 2025-26 college basketball season. Illinois State enters as a significant road favorite, seeking to improve their record against a struggling Long Beach State team winless through three games.
Key Factors to Consider
Illinois State, despite a 1-2 record, is the more complete team with superior defensive efficiency (allowing just 4.3 three-pointers per game, 13th nationally, on 22.8% shooting). Long Beach State is significantly hampered by poor shooting (24.6% from three, 331st nationally) and alarming turnover issues (23.6% turnover rate, 339th nationally). LBSU is on a 10-game straight-up losing streak with 0-3 start.
Illinois State defeated Long Beach State 61-52 in their last meeting on November 20, 2023, when Illinois State was a 6.5-point underdog at a neutral site. Illinois State is now favored by 7.5 points as the road team, indicating improved relative strength.
No injury information available in provided data.
This is Long Beach State's home opener, which typically provides some motivational advantage. However, LBSU's poor shooting efficiency and turnover management suggest structural team issues that home court alone cannot overcome.
Long Beach State will have the motivational boost of playing at home for the first time this season. Illinois State, as the road favorite, faces the challenge of maintaining focus without home court advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Illinois St -315 | Long Beach St +255
Illinois State Redbirds
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Illinois St -7.5 -102 | Long Beach St +7.5 -120
Illinois State -7.5
★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under
Over 143.5 -112 | Under 143.5 -108
Under 143.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Illinois St Redbirds 184%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 143.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Illinois St Redbirds at 184% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Illinois State will win decisively. The statistical advantages in three-point defense, shooting efficiency, and turnover management strongly favor the Redbirds. Long Beach State's 0-3 start reflects fundamental offensive limitations that Illinois State's strong defensive profile is well-suited to exploit.
Predicted Score: Illinois State 75 – Long Beach State 63
Two struggling teams meet as the Washington Wizards (1-11) host the Brooklyn Nets (1-11) on Sunday, November 16, 2025. Both teams are desperate for a win, with the Wizards seeking to end a 10-game losing streak against the Nets, who have lost four straight. The game features a high over/under, reflecting the defensive shortcomings of both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have poor records and have struggled defensively. The Wizards have covered the spread only twice in 12 games, while the Nets are 4-7-1 ATS. Both teams' games have frequently gone over the total, with the Wizards hitting the over in 8 of 12 games and the Nets in 7 of 12.
The Wizards have lost 10 straight to the Nets, but recent matchups have been close, with the Nets winning the last meeting 115-112. The Nets have been favored in most recent meetings, but the Wizards have covered the spread in some of those games.
No major injuries reported for either team, with both squads expected to field their standard lineups.
The game is being played at Capital One Arena, giving the Wizards a home-court advantage. The high over/under suggests bookmakers expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
Both teams are desperate for a win, with the Wizards looking to end a long losing streak against the Nets and the Nets seeking to snap a four-game losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -148, away: 124
Washington Wizards
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
home: -2.5 -115, away: 2.5 -105
Washington Wizards -2.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
over: 234.5 -110, under: 234.5 -110
Over 234.5
★★★★☆ 74%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Washington Wizards 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 234.5 41%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 234.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be close, with the Wizards edging out the Nets in a high-scoring affair.
Cincinnati Bearcats host Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers in a non-conference matchup. Cincinnati enters unbeaten at 3-0, while Mt. St. Mary's is 1-2. The Bearcats are heavy favorites, with a spread of -26.5 and a total set at 147.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
Cincinnati is 3-0, averaging 80.7 points per game and 8 steals per game. They are strong defensively and have depth. Mt. St. Mary's is 1-2, with a recent win over Saint Francis but struggled in losses. They average 32 rebounds and 21 assists per game, but turnover-prone and less efficient on defense.
Cincinnati won the only previous meeting 69-59 in 2010. No recent history, but Cincinnati is a much stronger program and has a clear edge in talent and resources.
Cincinnati's FJalen Haynes is out with a lower body injury. This is a minor setback, but Cincinnati's depth should absorb the loss.
Game is at Cincinnati's home court, Fifth Third Arena, where they are 3-0 this season. Crowd support and home advantage are significant. No weather or travel issues.
Cincinnati is motivated to remain unbeaten and build momentum for conference play. Mt. St. Mary's is looking to upset a Power 5 team and boost their resume, but the gap in talent is substantial.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-10000
Cincinnati Bearcats
★★★★★ 95%
Spread
-26.5 -110
Cincinnati Bearcats -26.5
★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under
147.5 -110
Under 147.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cincinnati Bearcats -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 147.5 30%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cincinnati will dominate Mt. St. Mary's, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total. The Bearcats' defense and depth will be too much for the Mountaineers.
Location: Bloomington, IN (Indiana Hoosiers home court)
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers, undefeated at 3-0 and heavily favored, face the Incarnate Word Cardinals, who are 2-1 with an underdog status. Indiana dominates in talent, recent form, and home court advantage, reflected by extremely skewed bookmaker odds.
Key Factors to Consider
Indiana is 3-0 with dominant wins including a 47-point victory over Alabama A&M and a 23-point neutral court win against Marquette, demonstrating strong offense and defense. Incarnate Word is 2-1 with their sole loss by 34 points at Colorado St, indicating a much weaker team overall.
Limited historical head-to-head data available as these teams rarely meet. Recent form strongly favors Indiana, with no direct matchup surprises indicated in available data.
Incarnate Word has several injuries in key players including G Jason Drake (toe), F Josh Harris (foot), and G Aleksa Ristic (foot), reducing their competitiveness. Indiana has no major injury concerns reported.
Indiana playing at home with strong fan support and familiar environment. No travel stress for Indiana; Incarnate Word traveling from Southland Conference, a lesser competitive conference, adding to the challenge.
Indiana, with a perfect record and high program expectations, is motivated to maintain dominance and avoid early season upsets. Incarnate Word likely motivated but substantially outmatched.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Indiana Hoosiers: -10000, Incarnate Word Cardinals: +3000
Indiana Hoosiers
★★★★★ 98%
Spread
Indiana Hoosiers: -25.5 -118, Incarnate Word Cardinals: +25.5 -104
Indiana Hoosiers -25.5
★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under
Over 154.5: -110, Under 154.5: -110
Under 154.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Indiana Hoosiers -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 154.5 34%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana Hoosiers win straight up, cover the large spread, and the game total expected to go under given Indiana’s strong defense and lack of Incarnate Word offensive firepower.
Predicted Score: Indiana Hoosiers 83 – Incarnate Word Cardinals 65
Colorado State Rams (3-0) face the Loyola Chicago Ramblers (1-3) in a non-conference matchup. Colorado State enters with strong offensive and defensive metrics, while Loyola Chicago has struggled defensively and in perimeter coverage.
Key Factors to Consider
Colorado State is averaging 96.0 points per game and allowing just 72.3, shooting 54.0% overall and 44.4% from three. Loyola Chicago is allowing 80.0 points per game and opponents are shooting 43.9% overall and 40.0% from three. Colorado State’s efficiency and rebounding are superior.
No recent H2H data available for this matchup.
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Game is played at Loyola Chicago’s home venue, but Colorado State has shown strong road performance with a 2-0 away record.
Colorado State is riding a 3-game winning streak and strong momentum. Loyola Chicago is seeking to avoid a 4th straight loss and improve their defensive struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 195, away: -240
Colorado St Rams
Not available
Spread
home: -105, away: -115
Colorado St Rams -4.5
Not available
Over/under
over: -110, under: -110
Over 145.5
Not available
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Colorado St Rams 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 145.5 24%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 145.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado State will win by a margin greater than 4.5 points, and the game will finish over the total.
Predicted Score: Colorado State 82, Loyola Chicago 68
