Match Analysis: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
Game Overview
The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Philadelphia 76ers in what promises to be a tightly contested Eastern Conference matchup. Both teams have strong records entering the game: 76ers at 5-2 and Cavaliers at 4-3. The game is expected to be close with little margin separating the teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- The 76ers have a better overall record (5-2) compared to the Cavaliers (4-3), but Cleveland is favored at home with a strong defensive profile. Cleveland struggles ATS this season (2-5), indicating inconsistency in covering spreads despite usually winning moneyline bets.
- Recent matchups show very close games, with Philadelphia edging a January 2025 game by 132-129 but Cleveland winning the two December 2024 and November 2024 meetings comfortably, often covering large spreads. The recent results highlight competitive balance but slightly favor Cleveland at home with a tighter spread.
- Key Cavaliers players Jarrett Allen and Darius Garland are questionable; Max Strus and Chris Livingston are out. The 76ers may be without star Joel Embiid, a major factor weakening their frontcourt dominance. Allen potentially missing boosts Evan Mobley's expected impact on rebounds for Cleveland.
- The game will be played at Rocket Arena, giving Cleveland home court advantage. The timezone and start time favors local crowd energy. Philadelphia playing on the road with limited star power could slightly affect morale and physical output.
- Both teams aim to consolidate their Eastern Conference standing early in the season. The 76ers seek to prove resilience without Embiid, while Cleveland wants to capitalize on home advantage and defensive strengths to maintain competitive edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -390, away: +310 | Cleveland Cavaliers | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | home: -108, away: -112 | Philadelphia 76ers +10.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -112, under: -108 | Under 233.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cleveland Cavaliers -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 233.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 233.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Cleveland Cavaliers win, Spread: 76ers +10.5, Over/Under: Under 233.5
Predicted Score: Cavaliers 118, 76ers 110