Match Analysis: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Rocket Arena, Cleveland, Ohio
Game Overview
The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Milwaukee Bucks in a crucial Eastern Conference matchup. Cleveland is favored by 6.5 points with an over/under set near 235.5 points. Both teams feature star players Donovan Mitchell and Giannis Antetokounmpo, with recent form and home advantage favoring Cleveland.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cavaliers have a 9-5 record, slightly better than Bucks' 8-6. Cleveland plays strong at home (5-2) and has a higher pace and better assist rate. Bucks are 3-3 on the road with recent struggles (1-game losing streak).
- Recent matchups favor Cleveland, winning all meetings in the 2024-25 season including a 118-113 victory over the Bucks. Cleveland consistently covers when favored at this spread in prior encounters.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters Donovan Mitchell or Giannis Antetokounmpo.
- Game played at Rocket Arena with home crowd advantage for Cavaliers, who also have a better home ATS record.
- Cavaliers aim to maintain momentum and solidify a top playoff position; Bucks look to recover from a recent loss and improve their road performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -265 | Cavaliers | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | -110 | Cavaliers -6.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | -110 | Over 235.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cleveland Cavaliers 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 235.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 235.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cleveland Cavaliers win outright (moneyline) with cover of -6.5 spread and game total going over 235.5 points.
Predicted Score: Cavaliers 121 – Bucks 112