Match Analysis: Chattanooga Mocs vs North Alabama Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: McKenzie Arena, Chattanooga, Tennessee
Game Overview
The Chattanooga Mocs host the North Alabama Lions in a rare matchup, their first in 55 years, as part of the ASUN/SoCon Challenge series. Both teams enter with 2-3 records, each coming off recent losses but showing potential for competitive play. Chattanooga snapped a three-game losing streak with a solid road win, whereas North Alabama is coming off a tough defeat at Clemson. This game kicks off Chattanoogaβs five-game homestand, providing a home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams hold 2-3 records. Chattanooga recently ended a losing streak with a strong 78-66 win on the road over SC State, demonstrating resilience. North Alabama has faced tough opponents including losses against Clemson and Mississippi State but holds a strong home non-conference record under Coach Tony Pujol, though this game is away for them.
- The teams have met 25 times historically, but not since January 2, 1970. Hence, no recent direct matchup data to influence predictions.
- No publicly reported significant injuries for either team ahead of the game.
- Chattanooga benefits from the home venue, McKenzie Arena, with a crowd capacity of 4,177, which can boost team performance. ESPN+ will broadcast the game, increasing exposure and motivation.
- Chattanooga aims to capitalize on home court and a positive recent win to build momentum in their homestand. North Alabama seeks to overcome recent losses and prove competitiveness on the road, particularly given their strong history under current coach in home non-conference play.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chattanooga Mocs: -278, North Alabama Lions: 225 | Chattanooga Mocs to win | β β β β β 80% |
| Spread | Chattanooga Mocs: -6.5 -112, North Alabama Lions: +6.5 -108 | Chattanooga Mocs to cover -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over: 154.5 -105, under: 154.5 -115 | Over 154.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chattanooga Mocs -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chattanooga Mocs are favored to win given home advantage, recent form improvement, and favorable odds. Expect a competitive game with Chattanooga covering the spread and a moderately high total score.
Predicted Score: Chattanooga Mocs 81 – North Alabama Lions 72