Match Analysis: Charlotte Hornets vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Game Overview
The Oklahoma City Thunder (12-1) enter this game as heavy 15.5-point favorites against the Charlotte Hornets (4-8), who have struggled this season, especially against strong Western Conference opponents. The Thunder are on a four-game winning streak with strong offensive output and solid defense, while the Hornets have inconsistent form and injury considerations. Previous head-to-head confrontations this season favor the Thunder with a 2-0 record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Thunder have been dominant (12-1), averaging 122.6 points per game while allowing 107 points; Hornets struggle at 4-8, with defense allowing over 121 points on average. Thunder have covered the spread 8 times out of 13, including a cover when favored by 15.5+ points. Hornets have a poor ATS record in similar scenarios but show some resilience at home as underdogs.
- Okla. City leads 2-0 in recent matchups this season; both teams split ATS 1-1 in those games. Thunder have consistent success against Hornets, especially on the road.
- No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either team at this time, implying both squads are near full strength.
- Hornets playing at home but currently outmatched both in form and conference strength; Thunder motivated to maintain their near-perfect record and build a separation in the Western Conference.
- Thunder are highly motivated to continue dominance and increase winning streak to five games; Hornets seek to upset at home to halt a negative trend but have shown limited success in comparable matchups.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Thunder -1200, Hornets +750 | Thunder | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Thunder -15.5 -110, Hornets +15.5 -110 | Thunder -15.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 228.5 -110, Under 228.5 -110 | Over | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma City Thunder -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 228.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 228.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma City Thunder to win straight-up (moneyline), cover the -15.5 spread, and the game to go over 228.5 points.
Predicted Score: Thunder 123 – Hornets 107