Match Analysis: Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Bucks (7-4) visit the Charlotte Hornets (3-7) in an Eastern Conference NBA matchup at Spectrum Center. The Bucks are favored by 5.5 points with an over/under line set at 232.5 points. The Hornets seek to end a three-game losing streak, while the Bucks look to continue their solid start to the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Bucks have been strong favorites this season, winning 4 out of 5 games as favorites and holding a 7-4 record overall. The Hornets have struggled at 3-7, with poor recent form including a three-game losing streak. Charlotte performs better at home but has a 2-3 record against the spread at Spectrum Center. Bucks average around 114 points on the road, Hornets about 121 at home.
- The Bucks hold a 2-1 advantage in the last three matchups versus the Hornets. However, Hornets have gone 3-0 against the spread in recent head-to-head games. Previous scores are generally close, with last matchups ranging in mid-110s to low 120s per team.
- No specific injury updates available from the current data, suggesting both teams may have their core players available.
- The game is at Charlotte's home court (Spectrum Center). Betting market odds have Milwaukee as moneyline favorites at -220 with a 67% implied winning probability, while the Hornets are at +180, around 33% chance of winning. The point spread and over/under lines reflect expected close, moderately high-scoring action.
- Charlotte Hornets are motivated to break their three-game losing streak in front of a home crowd. The Bucks are motivated to reinforce their strong start and maintain momentum with a win on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte Hornets: 180, Milwaukee Bucks: -220 | Milwaukee Bucks to win | β β β ββ 67% |
| Spread | Charlotte Hornets: +5.5 -106, Milwaukee Bucks: -5.5 -114 | Hornets +5.5 to cover | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 232.5 -108, Under: 232.5 -112 | Over 232.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Bucks -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 232.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 232.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Bucks are predicted to win a close game, but the Hornets are expected to cover the +5.5 spread. The total points scored are likely to go over the 232.5 line.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Bucks 121 – Charlotte Hornets 117