Match Analysis: Charleston Cougars vs Yale Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: Virgin Islands Sport & Fitness Center, St. Thomas (Neutral Site)
Game Overview
The Charleston Cougars (3-3) face the Yale Bulldogs (4-1) in a neutral-site NCAA basketball game, with Yale favored. Yale boasts a stronger record and better overall team efficiency on both offense and defense. Charleston has a balanced but less potent offense and defense, showing mediocre shooting percentages and a defense that has allowed more points recently. Yale's defense and shooting efficiency give them an edge in controlling the game's pace and outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yale has a 4-1 record, ranking highly in turnover margin and shooting efficiency, scoring about 75 points per game while holding opponents to lower shooting percentages. Charleston is 3-3, with average shooting (42.9%) and defensive numbers, allowing around 73.2 points per game but has struggled to score over 70 points in recent games.
- No explicit recent head-to-head data is provided, but Yale has a strong record in neutral-site games, winning eight of their last nine non-ranked opponent neutral-site matches. Charleston has not performed strongly against similar opponents.
- Both teams appear healthy with no reported key injuries. Only a foot injury to a Colby Duggan (not specified team relevance) is noted but seems not to impact the core lineups.
- The game is played at a neutral location in the Virgin Islands, New Year's Paradise Jam setting, possibly reducing home-court advantage. Streaming options exist, and betting market confidence favors Yale. No unusual weather or travel factors noted.
- Yale is motivated to maintain a strong start (4-1) and improve their neutral-site performance, while Charleston aims to improve in the face of a strong opponent but has shown inconsistent performance recently.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars: +275, Yale Bulldogs: -350 | Yale Bulldogs to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Charleston Cougars +7.5: -110, Yale Bulldogs -7.5: -110 | Yale Bulldogs to cover -7.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 152.5: -110, Under 152.5: -110 | Over 152.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yale Bulldogs -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 152.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 152.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yale Bulldogs are expected to dominate the game, winning comfortably and covering the 7.5-point spread with a projected final score near 85-69 in favor of Yale.
Predicted Score: Yale Bulldogs 85 – Charleston Cougars 69