Match Analysis: Charleston Cougars vs South Carolina St Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: TD Arena, Charleston, SC
Game Overview
The Charleston Cougars host the South Carolina State Bulldogs in a challenging NCAAB matchup. Charleston holds a 1-2 record while South Carolina State is 0-3. Charleston has a significant performance edge and home advantage, as evidenced by prior wins and statistical superiority on offense and defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charleston Cougars average 77 points per game on 42.7% shooting while allowing 81 points on 44.8% shooting. South Carolina State Bulldogs average 60 points on 34.9% shooting and allow 90.3 points on 48% shooting. Charleston has lost 3 of their last 4 games but has won 19 of 20 non-conference home games recently. South Carolina State has lost 16 of their last 18 road night games against non-conference opponents.
- Charleston Cougars have won all past 4 head-to-head meetings against South Carolina State, including a decisive 106-74 win the last time the teams met.
- No reported injuries for either Charleston Cougars or South Carolina State Bulldogs.
- The game is at Charleston's home arena, granting home court advantage. Charleston's strong home non-conference record and South Carolina State's poor road night performance are relevant. Both teams are currently in poor form, but Charlestonβs statistical and historical advantages stand out.
- Charleston seeks to improve their losing streak and validate their superior record at home. South Carolina State is winless and likely motivated to break their road losing streak but faces steep competition and unfavorable odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars: -1450, South Carolina St Bulldogs: +850 | Charleston Cougars to win | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | Charleston Cougars: -14.5 at -112, South Carolina St Bulldogs: +14.5 at -108 | Charleston Cougars to cover -14.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 157.5 at -110, Under: 157.5 at -110 | Under 157.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 157.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 157.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charleston Cougars are strongly favored to win given superior team statistics, historical dominance in the matchup, home advantage, and current form. The total score is likely to stay under 157.5 points given both teams' defensive weaknesses and shooting inefficiencies.
Predicted Score: Charleston Cougars 82, South Carolina St Bulldogs 68