Match Analysis: Charleston Cougars vs Massachusetts Minutemen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: UVI Sports & Fitness Center, Saint Thomas, Virgin Islands
Game Overview
The Massachusetts Minutemen (3-1) face the Charleston Cougars (2-3) in the Paradise Jam tournament. Massachusetts are on a three-game winning streak, showing strong offensive and defensive efficiency, while Charleston has struggled recently, losing three of their last four games. Massachusetts displays efficient shooting and good rebounding, whereas Charleston's numbers are slightly lower both offensively and defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Massachusetts is averaging 83.3 points per game on 46.8% shooting, allowing 74.3 points on 43.8% shooting, featuring key players like Leonardo Bettiol (18.5 PPG, 10.5 RPG) and KβJei Parker (16.5 PPG). Charleston averages 76.2 points on 42.9% shooting, allowing 74.8 points on 42.4%, with Jlynn Counter leading at 13 points per game. Massachusetts has shown a stronger recent form and consistent defense.
- No direct recent head-to-head data available for this specific matchup; however, Massachusetts has lost six straight games at neutral venues against non-AP-ranked opponents, while Charleston has performed well in daytime neutral games. This adds complexity but Massachusetts' current form in non-conference play is superior.
- No known injuries reported for either team ahead of this matchup.
- The game takes place at a neutral site with no home team advantage. Weather and travel concerns are minimal. Charleston's motivation is slightly impacted by their recent poor record, while Massachusetts aims to extend its winning streak.
- Massachusetts, riding a three-game winning streak, looks motivated to continue their strong start and improve their tournament standing. Charleston aims to rebound from recent losses but faces a tough opponent in good form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars: -152, Massachusetts Minutemen: 126 | Massachusetts Minutemen Moneyline | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Charleston Cougars: -2.5 -110, Massachusetts Minutemen: 2.5 -110 | Massachusetts Minutemen +2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 158.5 -110, Under: 158.5 -110 | Under 158.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars 36% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charleston Cougars at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Massachusetts Minutemen are favored to win and cover the spread given their superior recent performance, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability. The final score is expected to be relatively low-scoring and controlled, favoring Massachusetts.
Predicted Score: Massachusetts Minutemen 74 – Charleston Cougars 63