Match Analysis: Central Arkansas Bears vs Eastern Illinois Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Farris Center, Conway, AR
Game Overview
The Central Arkansas Bears host the Eastern Illinois Panthers in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Both teams are seeking to build momentum early in the season, with Central Arkansas showing flashes of offensive firepower but struggling defensively, while Eastern Illinois has been more consistent defensively but lacks offensive explosiveness. The game is expected to be competitive, with the Bears favored at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Central Arkansas Bears (2-4) have shown a high-scoring offense, averaging 74.2 points per game, but have allowed 78.8 points per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent win against Eastern Washington (92-65) highlighted their offensive potential, but they have struggled on the road, going 0-3 away from home. Eastern Illinois Panthers (2-3) have been more defensively sound, allowing only 70 points per game, but have struggled to score, averaging 60.2 points per game. Their recent win over Tiffin (62-50) showed their defensive strength, but they have not faced a team with the offensive firepower of Central Arkansas.
- Central Arkansas won the most recent meeting 73-70, indicating a close and competitive matchup. Both teams have shown the ability to keep games tight, with recent head-to-head results suggesting a low-scoring, defensive battle.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Central Arkansas has a home-court advantage, which could be a factor given their 2-1 home record compared to 0-3 on the road. Eastern Illinois has struggled away from home, going 0-3, which could impact their performance in a hostile environment.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Central Arkansas will be motivated to prove they can compete with stronger opponents, while Eastern Illinois will be looking to bounce back from a tough start and prove they can compete on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Central Arkansas Bears: -170, Eastern Illinois Panthers: 142 | Central Arkansas Bears | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Central Arkansas Bears: -3.5, Eastern Illinois Panthers: 3.5 | Central Arkansas Bears -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 138.5, Under: 138.5 | Over 138.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Central Arkansas Bears 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 138.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 138.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Central Arkansas Bears are favored to win this matchup, but the game is expected to be close. Eastern Illinois' defensive strength could keep the score low, but Central Arkansas' offensive firepower and home-court advantage give them the edge. The total points are likely to be above the line, given Central Arkansas' recent scoring trends and Eastern Illinois' defensive struggles against high-scoring teams.
Predicted Score: Central Arkansas Bears 75, Eastern Illinois Panthers 68