Match Analysis: Canisius Golden Griffins vs Mercyhurst Lakers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, New York
Game Overview
This NCAA Men's Basketball matchup features the Canisius Golden Griffins hosting the Mercyhurst Lakers at Koessler Athletic Center. Both teams are early in their 2025-26 season, with Canisius looking to build momentum after a tough previous campaign and Mercyhurst aiming to improve on last year's record. The game is scheduled for Wednesday, November 12, 2025, at 7:00 PM EST (00:00 UTC November 13).
Key Factors to Consider
- Canisius finished last season with a 3-28 record, including 1-12 at home, averaging 11.3 assists per game and 23.5 made field goals. Mercyhurst ended 15-16 overall, with a 4-14 road record, shooting 43.2% from the field and 35.1% from three-point range. Both teams are off to modest starts this season, with Canisius at 1-2 and Mercyhurst at 2-1. Canisius has struggled offensively and defensively, while Mercyhurst has shown better shooting efficiency but inconsistent road performance.
- Recent head-to-head matchups are limited, but historical data suggests close contests with neither team dominating. Both teams have shown streaks of wins and losses, indicating unpredictability in their matchups.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game will be played at Canisius' home venue, which may provide a slight edge due to crowd support. The matchup is broadcast on ESPN+, allowing for real-time viewing and live stats. Weather is not a factor for indoor games.
- Canisius is motivated to improve on last season's poor record and gain confidence early in the season. Mercyhurst seeks to build on their recent wins and establish themselves as a competitive team in the conference.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Canisius Golden Griffins: -112, Mercyhurst Lakers: -108 | Canisius Golden Griffins | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Canisius Golden Griffins: -1.5 102, Mercyhurst Lakers: 1.5 -122 | Canisius Golden Griffins -1.5 | β β β ββ 50% |
| Over/under | Over: 140.5 -108, Under: 140.5 -112 | Over 140.5 | β β β ββ 53% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Canisius Golden Griffins -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 140.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Canisius Golden Griffins at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent performance, home advantage, and team statistics, Canisius is slightly favored to win a close game. Mercyhurst's better shooting efficiency could keep the game competitive, but Canisius' home court advantage and recent form give them a slight edge.
Predicted Score: Canisius Golden Griffins 72 – 70 Mercyhurst Lakers