Match Analysis: California Golden Bears vs Sacramento St Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Haas Pavilion, Berkeley, CA
Game Overview
The California Golden Bears (4-1) host the Sacramento State Hornets (3-3) at Haas Pavilion for an NCAA men's basketball game. California is favored heavily given their strong home record and superior team stats, while Sacramento State has struggled on the road with close losses to competitive teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- California boasts a 4-1 record with an average scoring margin indicating strong offensive efficiency, averaging around 84 points per game. Sacramento State is 3-3, with several close losses and against top-tier teams like UCLA showing limitations in both offense and defense.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited but California has held an advantage in past meetings given their more consistent performance and stronger home court results.
- No specific injuries reported for either California Golden Bears or Sacramento State Hornets ahead of this game.
- The game is played at California's home venue, Haas Pavilion, which provides a strong home court advantage. Sacramento State has had a challenging travel and road schedule.
- California aims to maintain momentum with a perfect home record early in the season; Sacramento State looks to rebound from recent losses and prove competitiveness in a tough away game.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | California Golden Bears: -4000, Sacramento St Hornets: 1600 | California Golden Bears | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | California Golden Bears: -21.5 -115, Sacramento St Hornets: +21.5 -105 | California Golden Bears | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 155.5 -112, Under: 155.5 -108 | Under 155.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | California Golden Bears -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
California Golden Bears are expected to win convincingly due to superior form, home advantage, and odds favoring them heavily.
Predicted Score: California Golden Bears 83 – 60 Sacramento St Hornets