Match Analysis: Butler Bulldogs vs South Carolina Gamecocks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Colonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia
Game Overview
The Butler Bulldogs (3-1) host the undefeated South Carolina Gamecocks (4-0) in a highly competitive basketball NCAA matchup. Butler enters with a 3-game home winning streak and is favored by bookmakers with a moneyline of -160. South Carolina, coming off a strong offensive performance with an 87-58 home win against Radford, is seen as a resilient underdog with moneyline odds of +132. The total points line is set at 152.5, reflecting the expected moderate scoring pace of both teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Butler has strong home form and a good recent record winning early season games, supported by a solid offensive efficiency and defensive performance allowing moderate shooting percentages. South Carolina is unbeaten this season, with a notable winning streak against non-conference opponents and has strong first-half performances recently.
- Recent direct matchups suggest a close contest with Butler favored slightly on the spread. South Carolina holds a mental edge with an 11-game winning streak against non-conference opponents, indicating experience in high-pressure situations.
- No significant injury updates reported for either team affecting the starting lineup or key rotations.
- The game is at a neutral venue which removes true home court advantage but Butlerβs strong record at such locations gives them an edge. South Carolinaβs unfavorable day game record (losing eight of last nine day games) contrasts Butlerβs strength in daytime neutral game conditions.
- South Carolinaβs undefeated status provides high motivation to maintain the perfect record and demonstrate dominance early in the season. Butler is motivated to protect their home/neutral venue winning streak and validate the betting favorites status.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Butler Bulldogs: -160, South Carolina Gamecocks: 132 | Butler Bulldogs to win | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Butler Bulldogs: -2.5 -115, South Carolina Gamecocks: +2.5 -105 | Butler Bulldogs to cover -2.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 152.5 -110, Under: 152.5 -110 | Over 152.5 points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Butler Bulldogs -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 152.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 152.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite Butler being favored by bookmakers (-160 moneyline) and expected to cover the spread (-2.5), analytical insights including South Carolina's undefeated streak and momentum suggest a very close game. The safe prediction leans slightly toward Butler by a narrow margin, anticipating a competitive, high-intensity contest.
Predicted Score: Butler Bulldogs 82, South Carolina Gamecocks 79