Match Analysis: Brown Bears vs Vermont Catamounts – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Pizzitola Sports Center, Providence, RI
Game Overview
The Vermont Catamounts face the Brown Bears in a college basketball NCAAB matchup. Vermont enters as a favorite based on recent dominant performances and stronger defensive statistics, while Brown is looking to rebound from a heavy opening loss. The game is projected to be moderately high scoring with a total line around 130.5 to 131 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vermont is undefeated at 2-0 with convincing wins and strong defensive metrics, allowing only 63.8 points per game compared to Brown's 71.6. Vermont also ranks better in defense (13th in points allowed) but scores fewer points on average (66.6) than Brown (72.2). Brown's poor shooting (29.3% last game) and turnovers contributed to their previous loss, while Vermont has shown efficiency and consistency.
- The last meeting was won by Brown 60-53; however, in the previous 4 matchups Vermont won three times. Overall, Vermont holds the psychological edge with recent success, but Brownβs home victory last time adds competitiveness.
- Brownβs Landon Lewis (ankle) will not play scrimmage recently, suggesting potential limited readiness or injury concerns. There are no reported injuries affecting Vermont for this game.
- The game is at Brownβs home court, which historically has favored the home team against Vermont in recent matches. Vermont has lost multiple day games against non-conference and Ivy League opponents previously, indicating potential vulnerability in daytime matches.
- Vermont seeks to maintain their strong start and dominance over non-AP ranked teams; Brown aims to recover quickly from an underwhelming start and leverage home advantage and motivation from their last head-to-head win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | brown_bears: +152, vermont_catamounts: -188 | Vermont Catamounts to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | brown_bears: 3.5 -104, vermont_catamounts: -3.5 -118 | Vermont Catamounts -3.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | over: 130.5 -112, under: 130.5 -112 | Over 130.5 total points | β β β ββ 53% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vermont Catamounts -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 130.5 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 130.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vermont Catamounts are favored to win the game by a margin close to 4 points. The spread and moneyline odds suggest confidence in Vermont, but Brownβs home presence and recent head-to-head success make an upset possible. The total points are expected to surpass 130.5, projecting a moderately high scoring affair.
Predicted Score: Vermont Catamounts 68, Brown Bears 64