Match Analysis: Brown Bears vs Hampton Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: Brown University (Providence, Rhode Island)
Game Overview
Brown Bears host Hampton Pirates in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Brown enters as the home favorite despite recent poor form, while Hampton arrives as an underdog coming off consecutive blowout losses. This is the first head-to-head meeting between these programs. The tight moneyline odds (-115/-105) and minimal spread (-1.5) suggest bookmakers view this as a closely contested game, though underlying team metrics tell a more nuanced story.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brown Bears have struggled significantly in their last five games, compiling a 0-5 record with losses to Boston University (90-77), Holy Cross (65-64), Vermont (89-84), Belmont (83-61), and Siena (62-46). Despite the poor record, Brown has shown offensive capability, scoring over 140 points in 60% of recent games and over 90 points in the first half in 60% of contests. Hampton Pirates are in worse form, losing their last two games decisively: Virginia Cavaliers (91-53) and Wake Forest (77-48). Hampton's only recent win came against Mid-Atlantic Christian (103-43), suggesting inconsistent performance against varying competition levels. Brown's offensive ceiling appears higher than Hampton's defensive floor.
- Brown Bears and Hampton Pirates have no previous head-to-head history in NCAA Men's Basketball, making this a completely fresh matchup with no established patterns or trends between these programs.
- No injuries reported for either team as of the match date.
- Brown is playing at home, which provides a significant advantage in college basketball. Hampton must travel on the road after suffering back-to-back humbling losses to Power 5 conference opponents (Virginia and Wake Forest), potentially affecting team confidence and morale. The early morning UTC time (01:15 AM) translates to 8:15 PM Eastern Time on November 14, which is a reasonable evening start time for a home game.
- Brown desperately needs a win to break a five-game losing streak and rebuild confidence. Hampton faces the challenge of regrouping after two consecutive double-digit road losses to stronger competition. Hampton may be more motivated to avoid another blowout, while Brown has higher expectations given home-court advantage and recent scoring trends.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brown Bears -115 | Hampton Pirates -105 | Brown Bears Win | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Brown Bears -1.5 (-104) | Hampton Pirates +1.5 (-118) | Brown Bears -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 56% |
| Over/under | Over 143.5 (-114) | Under 143.5 (-110) | Under 143.5 | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brown Bears -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 143.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Brown Bears are favored to win this matchup, with the home-court advantage, superior offensive consistency over recent games, and Hampton's recent struggles against stronger competition supporting this outlook. However, the tight odds reflect uncertainty regarding Brown's defensive reliability (they've allowed 77+ points in four of five recent games) and Hampton's ability to compete. Expect a competitive game decided by single digits, with Brown's higher offensive ceiling providing the edge. The predicted final score is approximately Brown 76, Hampton 72.
Predicted Score: Brown Bears 76, Hampton Pirates 72
