Match Analysis: Bradley Braves vs Tenn-Martin Skyhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Carver Arena, Peoria
Game Overview
Bradley Braves host the Tenn-Martin Skyhawks in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Bradley enters with a 1-1 record, while UT Martin is 2-0. Both teams are coming off decisive home victories, but Bradley holds a significant edge in home-court performance and recent form against non-conference opponents. The game is expected to be a showcase of Bradley's defensive strength versus UT Martin's high-scoring offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bradley Braves have won 8 of their last 9 night games at Carver Arena against non-conference opponents and are averaging 74.0 points per game while allowing just 61.5 points per game. UT Martin averages 91.5 points per game but has lost 4 of their last 5 night games away from home and has struggled defensively, allowing 77+ points in their last two wins. Bradley's defense ranks 295th in points allowed, while UT Martin's offense ranks 79th in points scored.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup. The teams have not played each other in recent seasons.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Bradley is favored heavily due to their home-court advantage and strong defensive record. UT Martin's offensive firepower is notable, but their defensive vulnerabilities and poor record in night games away from home are concerning. The game is being played at Carver Arena, a venue where Bradley has historically performed well.
- Bradley is motivated to build on their recent home win and establish dominance early in the season. UT Martin is looking to prove themselves against a higher-level opponent and maintain their undefeated record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Braves: -1600, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks: 850 | Bradley Braves | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Bradley Braves: -15.5 -110, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks: 15.5 -110 | Bradley Braves -15.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 143.5 -110, Under: 143.5 -110 | Under | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Braves -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 143.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bradley Braves are expected to win this game, leveraging their home-court advantage and strong defensive play. UT Martin's high-scoring offense may keep the game competitive, but Bradley's defense should be able to contain them. The spread is likely to be covered by Bradley, and the total points are expected to stay under the line due to Bradley's defensive efficiency.
Predicted Score: Bradley Braves 78, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks 65