Match Analysis: Bradley Braves vs Central Michigan Chippewas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Carver Arena, Peoria, IL
Game Overview
The Bradley Braves (0-1) host the Central Michigan Chippewas (1-0) at Carver Arena. Central Michigan enters the game coming off an 82-66 win over Appalachian State, showing strong offensive efficiency and rebounding. Bradley lost their opening game 69-63 and face challenges stopping Central Michiganβs offense. The Braves have a strong defensive reputation but struggled offensively, making under 45% of shots in their first game. Pace for both teams is moderate, with Bradley playing at a slower tempo and Central Michigan a bit faster, suggesting a moderately paced game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Central Michigan has demonstrated efficiency, shooting over 51% and converting over 82% of free throws while outrebounding opponents. Bradley's offense is less effective with under 45% shooting and slower pace. Defensively, Bradley performed well but will face a tougher offensive unit this game.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Central Michiganβs current momentum and shooting efficiency give them an edge. Bradleyβs defensive strengths might keep the game close despite offensive struggles.
- No specific injury updates were found in the available data, suggesting both teams likely have near-full rosters.
- Home court advantage favors Bradley, playing at Carver Arena. However, betting odds strongly favor Bradley but reflect respect for Central Michiganβs offensive capabilities.
- Central Michigan seeks to maintain a perfect start and build on confidence from a decisive win. Bradley aims to bounce back from an opening loss, likely motivated to improve offensively on home court.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Braves: -455, Central Michigan Chippewas: 350 | Bradley Braves to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Bradley Braves: -9.5 -115, Central Michigan Chippewas: +9.5 -105 | Central Michigan to cover +9.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -110, Under: 147.5 -110 | Under 147.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bradley Braves -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Central Michigan is predicted to cover the spread (+9.5) due to superior offensive efficiency and rebounding, despite being underdogs on the moneyline. The under (147.5) is favored given both teams' slower pace and offensive limitations last season and in their opening games.
Predicted Score: Bradley Braves 73 – Central Michigan Chippewas 66